It seems to me that outside Asia a Test team needs a minimum of 4 quick bowlers plus a part-time spinner in case they bowl fourth on a crumbling wicket.
And of the five bowlers selected:
One must bat at Number 7 and average 35 or more with the bat.
One must bat at Number 8 and average 22 or more with the bat.
One must bat at Number 9 and average 20 or more with the bat.
Yasir Shah's appalling tours of England, New Zealand and Australia in 2016 really summed up the problem.
Yasir Shah averaged a pathetic 40.73 in England, including innings in which he took 1-213 and 2-172.
In New Zealand he took 0-61 in a low-scoring First Test, and had to be dropped for the Second Test.
Yasir Shah was even worse in Australia: he had averaged a horrific 84.00 and his spells were:
2-129
1-45
3-207
1-167
1-124
In fact, Yasir Shah bowled 148 overs in Australia, of which just 11 were maiden overs.
Obviously Yasir Shah's performances were made worse by the gross incompetence of Misbah-ul-Haq as captain, giving him ludicrous fields to bowl to.
But the bottom line is that Yasir Shah proved that a specialist leg-spinner who can't bat is not ideally suited to Tests in England, New Zealand and Australia.
But a player like Shadab Khan could be ideal.
If you accept that the spinner is just a part-time bowler in the first three innings in those countries, perhaps it would be better to pick one who can keep an end fairly tight but average 35 or more with the bat?
If you look back to the Australia tour, Pakistan came within 39 runs of victory at Brisbane, where Yasir Shah scored 1 and 33.
And Pakistan survived until the final hour in the MCG Test, in which Yasir Shah did not score a run.
I would argue that Shadab Khan might well have won the First Test for Pakistan with the bat, and would have been quite likely to have drawn the Second Test.
Given that Pakistan can't field a fourth seamer at Number 7 who can average 35 with the bat (or at Number 6 and average 40), then the obvious alternative is to use Shadab Khan at Number 7.
I would think that the best chance of success in South Africa this December would be to field a team looking something like this:
6. Sarfraz Ahmed (wk)
7. Shadab Khan
8. Mohammad Amir
9. Hasan Ali
10. Shaheen Shah Afridi
11. Mohammad Abbas
And of the five bowlers selected:
One must bat at Number 7 and average 35 or more with the bat.
One must bat at Number 8 and average 22 or more with the bat.
One must bat at Number 9 and average 20 or more with the bat.
Yasir Shah's appalling tours of England, New Zealand and Australia in 2016 really summed up the problem.
Yasir Shah averaged a pathetic 40.73 in England, including innings in which he took 1-213 and 2-172.
In New Zealand he took 0-61 in a low-scoring First Test, and had to be dropped for the Second Test.
Yasir Shah was even worse in Australia: he had averaged a horrific 84.00 and his spells were:
2-129
1-45
3-207
1-167
1-124
In fact, Yasir Shah bowled 148 overs in Australia, of which just 11 were maiden overs.
Obviously Yasir Shah's performances were made worse by the gross incompetence of Misbah-ul-Haq as captain, giving him ludicrous fields to bowl to.
But the bottom line is that Yasir Shah proved that a specialist leg-spinner who can't bat is not ideally suited to Tests in England, New Zealand and Australia.
But a player like Shadab Khan could be ideal.
If you accept that the spinner is just a part-time bowler in the first three innings in those countries, perhaps it would be better to pick one who can keep an end fairly tight but average 35 or more with the bat?
If you look back to the Australia tour, Pakistan came within 39 runs of victory at Brisbane, where Yasir Shah scored 1 and 33.
And Pakistan survived until the final hour in the MCG Test, in which Yasir Shah did not score a run.
I would argue that Shadab Khan might well have won the First Test for Pakistan with the bat, and would have been quite likely to have drawn the Second Test.
Given that Pakistan can't field a fourth seamer at Number 7 who can average 35 with the bat (or at Number 6 and average 40), then the obvious alternative is to use Shadab Khan at Number 7.
I would think that the best chance of success in South Africa this December would be to field a team looking something like this:
6. Sarfraz Ahmed (wk)
7. Shadab Khan
8. Mohammad Amir
9. Hasan Ali
10. Shaheen Shah Afridi
11. Mohammad Abbas