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[PICTURES] Will Jasprit Bumrah reach 400 Test wickets?

Rana

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I think he can but I doubt think he will. He will be 29 I believe the next time India play a Test. I also don’t see him bowling more than the age of 33. So 4-5 good years left in him at most

I think the IPL will be to blame if he doesn’t break the 400 Test wicket barrier with an average below 25, putting his name alongside the elite fast bowlers of the game
 
He needs another 250 plus wickets to get there. Assuming he plays till 35/36, I think he can get close. His action is not too harsh on his body and he can easily play till he is 35/36. And he will always have pace like Shoaib he has hyper extension. His average may not be as low as it is right now.
 
For Asian pacers, 400 wickets shouldn't be a benchmark. For home matches, a lot of wickets will be taken by spinners so WPM won't be too high. I think he can pick 300 wickets in around 75 tests.

He will play about 45 tests more over next 6-6.5 years and retire at age of 35. He should take about 330 test wickets at average of 22-23 in close to 80 tests.
 
For Asian pacers, 400 wickets shouldn't be a benchmark. For home matches, a lot of wickets will be taken by spinners so WPM won't be too high. I think he can pick 300 wickets in around 75 tests.

He will play about 45 tests more over next 6-6.5 years and retire at age of 35. He should take about 330 test wickets at average of 22-23 in close to 80 tests.

He is averaging around 23 in peak period for fast bowlers 25-32 years of age last 2/3 years wont be peak so more than likely finish as 25/26 average bowler.
 
He is averaging around 23 in peak period for fast bowlers 25-32 years of age last 2/3 years wont be peak so more than likely finish as 25/26 average bowler.

He is currently averaging 21, not 23.
 
He is currently averaging 21, not 23.

Exactly 22 to be precise. Exactly what he will average will depend on how much LOI cricket he plays and ofcourse how many years will be outside his peak years. All fast bowlers by nature of their trade play significant time outside of their peak years.

Bumrah started his test cricket at his peak so missed out on early non peak years (19-22) but I am sure he will have atleast 3 years of non peak cricket before he decided to end his career.
 
Some of the greatest bowlers ever in a 5 year peak averaged below 20 with a strike rate in the low 40s.

And we get people hyping bumrah in his peak period when he has an average of 22 and strike rate touching 50
 
For Asian pacers, 400 wickets shouldn't be a benchmark. For home matches, a lot of wickets will be taken by spinners so WPM won't be too high. I think he can pick 300 wickets in around 75 tests.

He will play about 45 tests more over next 6-6.5 years and retire at age of 35. He should take about 330 test wickets at average of 22-23 in close to 80 tests.

Shaheen Afridi will have close to 400 wickets if he plays 100 Tests

Not sure why you are making excuses for Bumrah?
 
Shaheen Afridi will have close to 400 wickets if he plays 100 Tests

These are pretty optimistic predictions which is far from reality. If I remember well last time around, he was scared and bowling wide outside off at seventh stumps to a mediocre test batter and a bowling all rounder, Jos Buttler and Chris Woakes respectively.

Once he picks 400 wickets sure then you can talk. At present, his SENA record is poor. In Shaheen's thread also, people have hyped him as next ATG but when someone quoted those numbers, posters over here started talking about his age.

My argument for 400 wickets benchmark being set as pretty high is based on the fact that barring Wasim Akram and Kapil Dev, no Asian fast bowler has picked that many wickets. So, the benchmark is lower for Asian pacers. In Asia, spinners play lead role while pacers take a back seat although Bumrah has a fi-fer there also but he won't get to pick that many wickets in Asia.

Another way of understanding this is say, we compare an Asian spinner to an England or Australian spinner. Harbhajan for example has 400+ test wickets while Swann had 250 odd wickets. But clearly, Swann was a better spinner and it is not possible for him to pick as many wickets as Harbhajan would because Harbhajan played on dustbowls while Swann played on English wickets.
 
It will be interesting to see how Bumrah does in Asian conditions....he has hardly played in subcontinent.

Let's see if he can replicate his success in the subcontinent as well....like the other great Asian fast bowlers from past.
 
These are pretty optimistic predictions which is far from reality. If I remember well last time around, he was scared and bowling wide outside off at seventh stumps to a mediocre test batter and a bowling all rounder, Jos Buttler and Chris Woakes respectively.

Once he picks 400 wickets sure then you can talk. At present, his SENA record is poor. In Shaheen's thread also, people have hyped him as next ATG but when someone quoted those numbers, posters over here started talking about his age.

My argument for 400 wickets benchmark being set as pretty high is based on the fact that barring Wasim Akram and Kapil Dev, no Asian fast bowler has picked that many wickets. So, the benchmark is lower for Asian pacers. In Asia, spinners play lead role while pacers take a back seat although Bumrah has a fi-fer there also but he won't get to pick that many wickets in Asia.

Another way of understanding this is say, we compare an Asian spinner to an England or Australian spinner. Harbhajan for example has 400+ test wickets while Swann had 250 odd wickets. But clearly, Swann was a better spinner and it is not possible for him to pick as many wickets as Harbhajan would because Harbhajan played on dustbowls while Swann played on English wickets.

What is far from reality?

He has 3.96 wpm, that includes his teenage years. It is logical to assume it will go up. Even at his current rate, he will reach 400 wickets in 100 games. If Pakistan play 9 tests a year on average, he will reach there in ~8 years ie. 30 years of age. Add in 2 more years accounting for any injuries, still will be 32.

There are pros and cons of starting young. Cons are people will judge you without taking into perspective your young age and inexperience, the pros are you won't be nearing 30 with about 100 wickets to your name.
 
I hope he does because in terms of calibre he deserves to be recognised as India's first ATG pace bowler but as OP has mentioned he'll be turning 29 soon and with just 128 wickets, he has a long way to go before he can get 400 wickets.

His action is on his body and he is injury prone. IPL will not help his cause. He'll need to stay injury free, maintain 4 wickets per game and play a minimum of 60 tests over the next 6 to 7 years to make it to 400. It's a tough ask.
 
Feel uncomfortable watching Bhumra's bowling action and the effort he puts in each and every delivery. I fear he is a back stress fracture away from declining as a bowler.
 
Shaheen Afridi will have close to 400 wickets if he plays 100 Tests

Not sure why you are making excuses for Bumrah?

Shaheen is my favourite and like yourself I have very high expectations of him however I just want to see a Pakistani pacer make it to 200 wickets first.

Not a single Pakistani pacer who's debuted in the 90s, 2000s and 2010s has managed to achieve this. We've been starved for too long.
 
He would have to go full Broad mode, just live and breathe Tests for as long as his body holds out.
 
Best Test bowling average for pacers in the 21st century (min 100 wickets)

21.28 - Glenn McGrath
21.99 - Jasprit Bumrah
22.26 - Shoaib Akhtar
22.32 - Vernon Philander
22.34 - Kagiso Rabada

Jasprit Bumrah almost leveling Lengendary Glenn McGrath in Test bowling average. And behind him only one Pakistani pacer which is Shoaib Akhtar. Shaheen Shah Afridi is nowhere near to any current pacers.
 
He may not do it because of injury and other factors.

It is difficult for modern day pacers to reach 400 wickets in Test format. There's simply too much cricket.
 
300 plus wickets at below 25 average and helping his team win many tough away tests/series... If he can do that then it will be a great career. A long way to go.
 
Just checked his stats. Bumrah only has 128 Test wickets and is already 30 years old.

So, I don't think he can reach 400 wickets even if he plays all games till 40. Highly unlikely.
 
Just checked his stats. Bumrah only has 128 Test wickets and is already 30 years old.

So, I don't think he can reach 400 wickets even if he plays all games till 40. Highly unlikely.
But he might take 250 Test wickets, and 250 Test wickets are fair enough according to the number of Test matches he will play.

And sadly, we don't even have one Pakistani bowler capable of taking 200 Test wickets at the moment.
 
300 plus wickets at below 25 average and helping his team win many tough away tests/series... If he can do that then it will be a great career. A long way to go.
yeah quality over quantity , I will take 300 wickets under 25 average and 50 strike rate over dragging career to get to 400.
 
Jasprit Bumrah in the Boxing Day Tests:

Matches - 3.
Wickets - 20.
Fifers - 1.
MOTM - 1 ( Vs Australia at MCG).

Can he take another fifer on boxing day Test against South Africa?
 
Jasprit Bumrah in the Boxing Day Tests:

Matches - 3.
Wickets - 20.
Fifers - 1.
MOTM - 1 ( Vs Australia at MCG).

Can he take another fifer on boxing day Test against South Africa?
He was so unlucky last time. Elgar was all at sea against him. He was too good to catch the edge. Hope this series doesn't turn into another unlucky series.
 
Bumrah has choreographed more test wins for India in SENA countries than Wasim, Waqar and Akhtar COMBINED.

Usually pakistani posters are all about the team results than individual achievements so I was hoping they'd see BOOMs stands streets ahead of their bowling superstars in terms of results. ;)
 
His Boxing day Test spell at the MCG is one of my favorite spell. Took a wicket of different lengths. Yorker, slower ball, bouncer, length ball, inswinger total of 6 wickets for 31 runs. Hope he motivates himself after World cup to deliver this.
 
If he remains fit and plays regular cricket for another 5 years so he can surely reach to 400 wickets.

only concern is his fitness.
 
If he remains fit and plays regular cricket for another 5 years so he can surely reach to 400 wickets.

only concern is his fitness.

He has 128 Test wickets now.

To reach 400 wickets in 5 years, he needs to get 272 wickets (about 55 wickets per year).

Unlikely.
 
A Test wicket for Jasprit Bumrah after a gap of 540 days

The 30-year-old leads India's comeback with two quick scalps dismissing Tony de Zorzi 28(62) and Keegan Petersen 2(7).

Jasprit's current figures in ongoing test match are 2/35 in 11 over at 3.18 econ
 
No he won’t reach 400 wickets in Test cricket. He also will end his career as a 24-25 average Test bowler.

Rabada is superior in Test cricket in every way.
 
What a way to make a comeback in Test cricket for Jasprit Bumrah

4 wickets for 69 runs (26.4 overs) at economy rate of 2.58 in the first innings against South Africa in 1st Test
 
No he won’t reach 400 wickets in Test cricket. He also will end his career as a 24-25 average Test bowler.

Rabada is superior in Test cricket in every way.
Rabada is terrible in Asia while bumrah has already won 2 test series in Australia, something no Pakistani fast bowling legend could even dream of doing. I can smell the jealousy
 
Rabadas record in Asia is awful, ge isn’t better in “every way”
Rabada is terrible in Asia while bumrah has already won 2 test series in Australia, something no Pakistani fast bowling legend could even dream of doing. I can smell the jealousy
You are right that Bumrah is far superior in Asia thus far - although I think Rabada will improve his record next time he tours.

I was mainly looking at the fact that Rabada has more than twice as many Test wickets despite being two years younger.

The top tier right now seems to be Rabada, Cummins, and Bumrah in Test cricket.
 
From 3-4 years, I have maintained the point that the top tier pacers of this era are Cummins, Bumrah and Rabada. There will be an occasional phase or a one off series when each of them will look like they have diminished but that won't stop them from greatness.

Shaheen is also making a case to join these three but he still has some time to go as he needs to prove more in SENA conditions.

Bumrah will probably not have 400 wickets in tests because in home conditions, he won't be required to offer that much and consistently except the major series like Eng, Aus, SA and NZ. But he should still go past 200 test wickets and 500 international wickets to achieve the ATG status in this era.

He is arguably the most versatile bowler of this era and best all format bowler because Rabada and Cummins are nowhere near in white ball cricket while Shaheen is nowhere near in Test cricket. Boult is a notch below in all formats although he is still a better white ball bowler than Cummins and Rabada.
 
No way he is getting near 400 wickets.

If he can get near 300, it will be a great outcome for him.
 
Jasprit Bumrah has been the standout performer with the ball for India in the second innings of 2nd Test against South Africa in Cape Town. He secured figures 6/61 in 13.5 overs.

20240104_153359.jpg
 
He has so many match changing spells for India in away tours. Simply a champion bowler.
 
Jasprit Bumrah breathed fire on Thursday during the second and final Test match against South Africa at Newlands, Cape Town. The right-arm pacer returned figures of 6 for 61 in 13.5 overs, helping India bundle out the Proteas for 176 in their second innings. India went on to win the game by 7 wickets. Bumrah's heroic show helped him surpass Australia's spin great Shane Warne and become the visiting bowler with the second-highest number of wickets in Test matches in Cape Town.

Bumrah now has 18 wickets to his name, one more than that of leg-spin legend Warne, in Test matches at the venue.Bumrah took 6 for 61 -- and was denied the wicket of Markram when the batsman, on 71, edged a drive and wicketkeeper KL Rahul could not hold a catch above his head.

Bumrah also bagged the award for the man of the series owing to his spectacular performance in the Test series against South Africa.
 
He is unlikely to get to 400 wickets. He will get the opportunity to play most of his Test cricket in India and he won’t get long spells on unhelpful wickets before the spinners come on to clean up the opposition. He will have a decent strike rate but not too many wickets, unfortunate as it may sound. He is injury prone too as we have seen (Shoaib Akhtar called it years ago). Champion bowler, nonetheless.
 
But he might take 250 Test wickets, and 250 Test wickets are fair enough according to the number of Test matches he will play.

And sadly, we don't even have one Pakistani bowler capable of taking 200 Test wickets at the moment.
Exaggerated comment. Shahin Shah Afridi will take 250 plus if Pakistan can manage his body. He has 113 wickets already and he is only 23 now. Nasim also can if... Same line
 
The action Bumrah has , it puts too much pressure on his body. Prone to injury. Unlikely to get 300. But I hope he remains fit. He is an asset for cricket.
 
India plays 10 tests per year on average and Bumrah will be the mainstay for next 5 years for sure.
Hope he really crosses 350 wkts in Tests to be regarded as one of ATG
 
certainly he can but all depends how many matches he played because of his fitness issues.
 
There is no doubt that Jasprit Bumrah is the best bowler in the world at the moment in ODIs and Tests. Just look at his ability and control over his lengths. Removed Ben Stokes with an absolute cracker of a delivery in the 1st Test against England.

At full speed i thought it was slower ball he missed. I had to revisit to fidn out it was a mind blowing on-pace delivery
 
Bumrah is 30. He will play 6-7 years of test cricket more and will miss a lot more games in the latter 2-3 years of his career. So, he would play approx 35-40 tests more.

I think he will end up with about 275 test wickets in 70 tests by the end of his career.
 
Bumrah would likely win more tough away tests for India than many other quicks with twice as many wickets. That's his USP and greatness.
 
Mark of a great bowler?

1. Misses out an LBW dismissal because team did not take DRS review

Then this

Shastri: Bumrah must get over disappointment

Former India head coach and all-rounder Ravi Shastri:

"Bumrah has to put that behind him. He could get overeager and try too hard [after not getting Duckett’s wicket]. He has to stick to the plans."

And then....

2. Then says to himself, right - only one way to do this - clean-bowls the same batter in the next over
 
Mark of a great bowler?

1. Misses out an LBW dismissal because team did not take DRS review

Then this

Shastri: Bumrah must get over disappointment

Former India head coach and all-rounder Ravi Shastri:

"Bumrah has to put that behind him. He could get overeager and try too hard [after not getting Duckett’s wicket]. He has to stick to the plans."

And then....

2. Then says to himself, right - only one way to do this - clean-bowls the same batter in the next over


And if you are wondering what it was like...




'Bumrah a master - one of the best around'

Former England white-ball captain Eoin Morgan:

“We talk about Bumrah’s quality but there was thought as well. He went away, away, away and then bowled the in-swinger, which Duckett thought was the same ball. There is very little change in his wrist position.

"Beautifully set up, perfectly executed."


Former India head coach and all-rounder Ravi Shastri:

"Bumrah is a master, one of the best around, if not the best, when it comes to reading a batsman, adapting to different conditions. The surface really doesn’t matter."
 
Bumrah has been brilliant all around the world and no doubt that he will be taking plenty of wickets. 400 mark is looking like stamped for sure.
 
Commendable the way he's come back from injury better than he was before it
 
He is playing all formats and not really that young. He is not getting anywhere close to 400 test wickets. 300+ test wickets will be a great outcome for him.
 
He will take 300+ test wickets at a sub 24 avg. Will retire as an atg
Yes, it will be an ATG career given he has already bowled so many gun spells to win tests outside Asia for his team, but 300+ wickets are a long way from here. It's not easy.

It's interesting that he is averaging below 15 at home. 15-20 more tests at this output is not possible but 15-20 home tests will go a long way to get to 300+ wickets.
 
its possible that he could only end up having not more than 250 test wickets.
but he will still be remembered as the greatest fast bowler india has ever produced
 
If bumrah will keep playing in sub continent so 400 wickets would be a huge ask for him.
 
If bumrah will keep playing in sub continent so 400 wickets would be a huge ask for him.

If Bumrah manages 70 tests he will get over 350 test wickets. He has 146 wickets in 33 tests now.

He has played 33 tests in 6 years. So 70 may not be impossible.
 
Yes, it will be an ATG career given he has already bowled so many gun spells to win tests outside Asia for his team, but 300+ wickets are a long way from here. It's not easy.

It's interesting that he is averaging below 15 at home. 15-20 more tests at this output is not possible but 15-20 home tests will go a long way to get to 300+ wickets.

If he can reverse they way he has, 20 home tests with 100 wickets at 20 may not be impossible.
 
Jasprit Bumrah, a maestro on the cricket field, has dazzled with his 10th Test five-for against England in the 2nd Test.

His current spell is a remarkable 5/42 in 14 overs, and in reaching this feat, he has gracefully crossed the milestone of 150 wickets. Simply outstanding!
 
1. Imran
2.wasim
3. Waqar
4. Daylight
Waqar is nothing compared to Bumrah.

Bumrah would average 15 if he had the luxury of bowling with the doctored balls that made Waqar’s career and if he was batting against lineups that ended when they were 6 down because the bowlers didn’t know how to hold a bat.

Those balls that enabled Waqar to bowl this infamous banana swing yorkers will not be deemed fit to play by the umpires these days and today’s number 11 is a better batsman with a better defensive technique than number 8s of 80s and 90s.

One can only imagine that havoc Bumrah would have created in the 80s and 90s.

Sensational fast bowler. Best in Asian history after Wasim. He doesn’t have less skill and talent than Wasim but the only difference is that he won’t be able to match his longevity.

There is absolutely no way any Pakistani fast bowler in history outbowls Bumrah playing in the same team.
 
what an exhibition of reverse swing bowling!!!

Remember, no use of saliva on this ball.

This isn't 90s that you can use things like how Aussies used sandpaper.

Just skills.

I didn't watch Imran at his peak, but in terms of skill only Wasim beats Bumrah.
 
1. Imran
2.wasim
3. Waqar
4. Daylight
I know what you are trying to do. However, you are disrespecting your own legends. As great a bowler Imran was, he was no way better than Wasim. And I wouldnt downplay Shoaib Akhtar as much as you are doing :)
 
Waqar is nothing compared to Bumrah.

Bumrah would average 15 if he had the luxury of bowling with the doctored balls that made Waqar’s career and if he was batting against lineups that ended when they were 6 down because the bowlers didn’t know how to hold a bat.

Those balls that enabled Waqar to bowl this infamous banana swing yorkers will not be deemed fit to play by the umpires these days and today’s number 11 is a better batsman with a better defensive technique than number 8s of 80s and 90s.

One can only imagine that havoc Bumrah would have created in the 80s and 90s.

Sensational fast bowler. Best in Asian history after Wasim. He doesn’t have less skill and talent than Wasim but the only difference is that he won’t be able to match his longevity.

There is absolutely no way any Pakistani fast bowler in history outbowls Bumrah playing in the same team.

Waqar got to 150 wickets in 27 tests. Better than anyone. Waqar to 200 wickets at a record breaking rate.

I say it again. Peak waqar is arguably the most destructive fast bowler in test history.
 
I know what you are trying to do. However, you are disrespecting your own legends. As great a bowler Imran was, he was no way better than Wasim. And I wouldnt downplay Shoaib Akhtar as much as you are doing :)

Imran was better than wasim in tests. Remember imran lost 3 years off his Peak due to injury, otherwise easy 500
 
what an exhibition of reverse swing bowling!!!

Remember, no use of saliva on this ball.

This isn't 90s that you can use things like how Aussies used sandpaper.

Just skills.

I didn't watch Imran at his peak, but in terms of skill only Wasim beats Bumrah.

The Indian bats of 80's knew of imrans quality. Regular destruction
 
Imran was better than wasim in tests. Remember imran lost 3 years off his Peak due to injury, otherwise easy 500
If number of wickets is the only criteria you have, then it will be a long discussion. Because remember, there are bowlers from India having many more wickets than Imran :P
 
Waqar got to 150 wickets in 27 tests. Better than anyone. Waqar to 200 wickets at a record breaking rate.

I say it again. Peak waqar is arguably the most destructive fast bowler in test history.
I agree, but with balls that were heavily tampered with bottle caps and that will not be allowed to be used by umpires today.
 
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