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POTW: unemployedgm

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It's that time again when we all talk about who the next Head Coach will be for Pakistan.

This week's POTW examines some of the qualities that we should look for when considering candidates.

Congratulations to [MENTION=147774]unemployedgm[/MENTION]


http://www.pakpassion.net/ppforum/s...ead-coach-of-Pakistan&p=11289254#post11289254


Hiring anyone requires a deep and thoughtful process. Pakistan won the 1992 World Cup, Reached the Final of the 1999 World Cup, Reached the Final of the 2007 T20 World Cup, Won the 2009 T20 World Cup, and Won the 2017 Champions Trophy. We have never been able to replicate this success. Unfortunately no one has asked the most important question. Why? How can you win the 2017 Champions Trophy yet be a below average One Day Team before and after that competition? There are two reasons.

One, winning a World Cup or a Tournament is not a barometer of success. The best team doesn't always win a tournament.

Two, Moreover that success was not the result of any process or system. It was random. More luck than skill. How do I know it was more luck than skill? Because it was skill and part of a well thought out long-term strategy, that strategy could be replicated. If you ask Imran Khan in 1992, Younis Khan in 2009, or Sarfraz Ahmed in 2017 how they won those competitions, they couldn't tell you. For example, going into the 2017 Champions Trophy Ahmed Shehzad and Wahab Riaz were key components of Pakistan's Starting XI. By the end of that competition Fakhar Zaman and Rumman Raees/Junaid had replaced them and were playing leading roles. In the first game of the 2009 T20 World Cup, Pakistan opened the batting with Salman Butt and Ahmed Shehzad. Abdul Razzaq wasn't even in the squad. In the Final against Sri Lanka, Kamran Akmal and Shahzaib Hasan opened the batting for Pakistan.

It is impossible to achieve sustainable success when that success is not built on a system, process, or any sound methodology. Nothing crystallizes this more than the appointment of PCB Chairman. The criteria to become the Chairman of Pakistan's most important sports body is proximity to the Prime Minister of Pakistan which changes randomly. Moreover for the vast majority of Pakistan's history that person has been corrupt. Yet that person is given the responsibility to appoint a Chairman.

I like Peter Moores. But before hiring Peter Moores on any other coach, a process for hiring a coach needs to exist. For example:

1. Is He a Leader?
2. Is He a Teacher?
3. Does he have ambition?
4. Does he believe in youth?
5. Does he have a record of developing young players?
6. Does he have a record of improving players?
7. Is he able to evaluate talent?
8. What is his cricket playing philosophy across three formats? Does that philosophy jive with what wins in those formats?
9. How does he construct his roster?
10. How does he construct a lineup?
11. Is he a victim of recency bias? How does he react to poor performance?
12. Is he a good communicator? (Players, Media, Executive Management).
13. Does he have any track record for success?
14. What formations does he play?

These are not in order but they must exist to begin the process of hiring a coach.
 
Very insightful post, the questionnaire can be used as a valid qualifier to assess the suitability of any applicants that are applying for the coaching post.

However, you'd still need the folks doing the assessment to be able to know what kind of responses they should be looking for to some of these questions. The PCB will need a lot of hand-holding to get things right, not sure whether Ramiz Raja, or for that matter Wasim Khan till he survives, are qualified to be that person.
 
This is a BRILLIANT BRILLIANT post.

This is what I keep bleating about.

The key is to have a SOUND system and a process to identify talent, build and nurture a team.

A system that lets players know the path to making the team and where they EXACTLY stand and what is needed from them at every stage of their journey.

Performers must be rewarded whoever they are. Non performers (over a prolonged period of time) should be given a respectful drop an asked to fight back for their spot.

It will work wonders because everyone will be absolutely clear what is expected of them.

Such a system will make a team with meager talents to punch WAY above its weight. And combined with luck, they could get some surprisingly good results in tournaments.

And when a talented team is matched with a solid system, it will be a force to be reckoned with, leaving a trail of destruction wherever it goes.

An example of a brilliant system is Mumbai Indians. What they did in the last decade was incredible. And even they can improve.
 
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Very insightful post, the questionnaire can be used as a valid qualifier to assess the suitability of any applicants that are applying for the coaching post.

However, you'd still need the folks doing the assessment to be able to know what kind of responses they should be looking for to some of these questions. The PCB will need a lot of hand-holding to get things right, not sure whether Ramiz Raja, or for that matter Wasim Khan till he survives, are qualified to be that person.

I want to add some context to this. If you look at the history of success in sports, you'll find that very few teams if any truly succeed playing a defensive style. In recent memory the only team that comes to mind is Atletico Madrid. In the NBA, the team that usually wins the Championship has the best offense and arguably one of the best defenses. In MLB, there is a correlation between hitting home runs and making the playoffs. At the same time it is impossible to win in the World Series without a great pitching staff(Defense). Like the NBA, the NFL has created rules to project more offense. It is easier to complete a pass today than ever before. Good offense is a given. But the teams that win the Super Bowl also have top echelon defenses. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers never let Patrick Mahomes set his feet in the Super Bowl, and despite gawdy numbers the result was never in doubt. The Atletico Madrid example notwithstanding most teams that win the Premier League have the most goals and concede the least. But here's the caveat.

When we talk about Pakistan Cricket the word often brought up is Aggression or lack thereof. But our model for Aggression are players whose aggressiveness was too often counterproductive. So aggression without a filter or without intelligence isn't valuable. In my research across sports, I found that the teams that win generally have great offenses but more importantly they have great defenses who defend with the intent to attack. If you observe the Premier League, the two dominant forces over the last 5 years are Liverpool and Manchester City. Without the ball both teams press high up the pitch collectively with the intent to turnover the opposition to create a transition in which it is easier to score goals. Very rarely if ever will either team defend with a low block. What is cricket's equivalent to this approach?

From a batting perspective, cricket's equivalence to this approach is to defend with the intent to score. Lets take two players from the Pakistani Team. The first is Shan Masood. Anyone whose watched Shan Masood bat has observed that Shan's approach to batting is to survive. That is option No.1, 2, and 3. Who is responsible for his lack of aggression? One, the system is responsible for his lack of aggression. As mentioned by the players in their meeting with Rameez Raja, the system doesn't protect aggression. Two, the system doesn't in fact understand cricket. In Pakistan we have reduced the job of a Test Opener to taking the shine off the new ball. That is wrong. The job of a Test Opener is to score big runs. To be a threat to score big hundreds, double hundreds, and for that matter triple hundreds. Shan's best innings was against England last summer where he crawled and scratched his way to his best score. Is that approach replicable? Ask Dom Sibley. It is not. The responsibility lies with Shan and his failure to recognize that his approach will not bear success either individually or collectively. The responsibility also lies with the Chief Selector and the intellectual infrastructure around him. Shan's performances at First Class level never merited selection. We criticize Imran Farhat for being an unfulfilled talent but compare his numbers at First Class, in a more challenging system to that of Shan Masood. Which openers in Domestic Cricket attack the opposition bowling unit at the top of the innings? Who intends to score and what do those metrics look like because the approach to survive at all costs is not sustainable?

The equivalent to this in bowling is intensity. Remember these are qualitative. Your bowlers are effectively your defense. Although we have deep analytics now, I primarily look at three statistics. Economy Rate, SR, and Average. The only difference is, I want to be more thoughtful about what these things mean. People generally view Economy Rate as a Defensive or a Negative Statistic. I don't. I view Economy Rate as a signal about the bowler. To me it signals that a bowler has control over his style of bowling. That he has a default to fall back on. The best bowlers do. Think logically, if a bowler is going above 3.50 in Domestic Cricket, will he be able to reduce that number against better competition internationally. Probably not. If he's above 3.50 the captain will not keep him on. The second statistic is SR. The SR signals a bowlers effectiveness or the regularity with which the bowler is bowling good deliveries. The average is a bowlers ability or lack thereof to reconcile these with the players ability to solve problems. Yasir Shah imo has a high bowling average.

There are other qualitative aspects to bowling. You can observe these aspects in field placings. Take for example, Imad Wasim. Imad is very accurate, but despite his accuracy he avoids keeping slip fielders. Keeping close in catchers and bowling with attacking and creative fields manifests itself in aggression. So yes, a boring Left Arm Spinner can be attacking. Another aspect is roster construction. For example, I would never go into a white ball match with less than 6 REAL Bowlers. India used to do this. They would go with 4 bowlers and 2 part-timers. That to me is a defensive approach manifesting itself in your bowling. What does this have to do with coaching or hiring a coach?

Before we can hire the right coach, we need to think about the game of cricket correctly. There needs to be a thorough examination and audit of Roster Construction, Lineup Construction, Positional Analysis, the Job of a Coach, where he sits in the Decision-Making Hierarchy, what is his functionality within that hierarchy?

In the post above I talk about Formations. As Jonathan Wilson eludes to in Inventing the Pyramid, Formations are important. They are as important in Cricket as they are in Football. There will come a day that apart from posting the XI before a match, broadcasters at least the intelligent ones will talk about the Formation. At a broader level I favor an 8-5 Formation for Test Cricket, and an 8-6 Formation for White Ball Cricket. Yes, 13 and 14 don't go into XI. It goes back to my earlier point. 13 and 14 does go into 11 when we include All Rounders. There is a problem with that though. Cricket defines Corey Anderson as an All Rounder. Corey Anderson is a batsman who bowls unwillingly. In our discussions around the selection of the T20 World Cup many pundits or so called pundits are putting Shoaib Malik in that category as well. Shoaib Malik for many years now is only batting. Rarely do any of his captains use him as a bowler. Yet one of the reasons to select Shoaib according to these pundits is that he bowls, which makes him redundant with Mohammad Hafeez who is a better performer at this stage in his career.

When hiring a coach in that meeting I would want to know what formations the Head Coach prefers (Primary, Secondary, Tertiary). I would also want him to breakdown the positions within those Formations. Third, I would want that coach to identify players who would fit those positions. The response to this would be, how would a foreign coach know who Aamer Jamal is or Musadiq Ahmed. That to me is problematic but not a disqualifier. The vast majority of coaches know very little about talent. Chris Silverwood is a good example. He has operated in the English System for years, but that's not reflected in his selection. To fix that problem you need to hire a selector who does possess this knowledge. Who thinks in this way. Remember you can ask these questions in an interview and you an document the requirement internally.

Finally, never let a Head Coach or a Chief Selector sell you experimentation. For me, that is a tell-tale sign that the person in question is unqualified. For example, I believe Azam Khan is a talented player because I've seen clips of him hit sixes. To test that talent I will throw him into international cricket and if he succeeds(what is that metric) I am right he is not only talented but also a good player. Alternatively if he fails he is not talented and not a good player. This approach exists in Pakistan Cricket because we don't have a process for anything.

We should have a Process for:

1. Appointing a Chairman
2. Hiring a Chief Executive
3. Hiring a Head Coach
4. Hiring a Chief Selector
5. Appointing a Captain
6. Building a Team(For Example, What is our Process for Evaluating Talent)?
 
Congratulations on the well-deserved POTW mate. Quite a thoughtful post.

While I agree with the ideas you presented, as well as the questionnaire. I think its also worth considering that foreign coaches aren't exactly lining up to coach Pakistan. And if say, Peter Moores doesn't meet many of the criterias you set in your questions, its not like PCB have 3-4 choices to pick and compare from.

I think at the end, it will be a case of looking at a handful of criterias and seeing whether the prospective candidate meets them or not. Most important of which is professionalism.

That said, the kind of expectations Pakistan fans have from coaches are ludicrous. It does go back to the system which I 100% agree, and have myself been holding responsible for Pakistan's failures. But somehow whenever Pakistan fails, the scapegoat is almost always the captain or the coach.
 
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Congratulations on the well-deserved POTW mate. Quite a thoughtful post.

While I agree with the ideas you presented, as well as the questionnaire. I think its also worth considering that foreign coaches aren't exactly lining up to coach Pakistan. And if say, Peter Moores doesn't meet many of the criterias you set in your questions, its not like PCB have 3-4 choices to pick and compare from.

I think at the end, it will be a case of looking at a handful of criterias and seeing whether the prospective candidate meets them or not. Most important of which is professionalism.

That said, the kind of expectations Pakistan fans have from coaches are ludicrous. It does go back to the system which I 100% agree, and have myself been holding responsible for Pakistan's failures. But somehow whenever Pakistan fails, the scapegoat is almost always the captain or the coach.

You can have a short-term approach or a long-term approach. You're right the vast majority of these attributes don't apply to both foreign or local coaches. But the purpose of the first and the second post is to illuminate how the board needs to think about these subjects. The action of getting or attracting a coach is completely different from how we think about the subject. My thought is only that we need to think about these subjects critically and more thoughtfully to increase the likelihood that we will hire the right person.
 
As someone who has had the opportunity to go through this process, let me say that there aren't many very good head coaches. There is less are may be a handful of coaches who are very good but Coaching in General in Cricket is very poor. There are no obvious candidates. No Guardiola's, Conte's, Klopp's, Simeone's, or John Wooden's. We must think about this subject from the bottom up.

To be honest I think the bigger debate must come back to selection. Because the problem inevitably starts there. How do we pick players for the National Team? How do we evaluate talent? How do we put together a report after watching a domestic game? What does a scouting report look like?
 
I want to add some context to this. If you look at the history of success in sports, you'll find that very few teams if any truly succeed playing a defensive style. In recent memory the only team that comes to mind is Atletico Madrid. In the NBA, the team that usually wins the Championship has the best offense and arguably one of the best defenses. In MLB, there is a correlation between hitting home runs and making the playoffs. At the same time it is impossible to win in the World Series without a great pitching staff(Defense). Like the NBA, the NFL has created rules to project more offense. It is easier to complete a pass today than ever before. Good offense is a given. But the teams that win the Super Bowl also have top echelon defenses. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers never let Patrick Mahomes set his feet in the Super Bowl, and despite gawdy numbers the result was never in doubt. The Atletico Madrid example notwithstanding most teams that win the Premier League have the most goals and concede the least. But here's the caveat.

When we talk about Pakistan Cricket the word often brought up is Aggression or lack thereof. But our model for Aggression are players whose aggressiveness was too often counterproductive. So aggression without a filter or without intelligence isn't valuable. In my research across sports, I found that the teams that win generally have great offenses but more importantly they have great defenses who defend with the intent to attack. If you observe the Premier League, the two dominant forces over the last 5 years are Liverpool and Manchester City. Without the ball both teams press high up the pitch collectively with the intent to turnover the opposition to create a transition in which it is easier to score goals. Very rarely if ever will either team defend with a low block. What is cricket's equivalent to this approach?

From a batting perspective, cricket's equivalence to this approach is to defend with the intent to score. Lets take two players from the Pakistani Team. The first is Shan Masood. Anyone whose watched Shan Masood bat has observed that Shan's approach to batting is to survive. That is option No.1, 2, and 3. Who is responsible for his lack of aggression? One, the system is responsible for his lack of aggression. As mentioned by the players in their meeting with Rameez Raja, the system doesn't protect aggression. Two, the system doesn't in fact understand cricket. In Pakistan we have reduced the job of a Test Opener to taking the shine off the new ball. That is wrong. The job of a Test Opener is to score big runs. To be a threat to score big hundreds, double hundreds, and for that matter triple hundreds. Shan's best innings was against England last summer where he crawled and scratched his way to his best score. Is that approach replicable? Ask Dom Sibley. It is not. The responsibility lies with Shan and his failure to recognize that his approach will not bear success either individually or collectively. The responsibility also lies with the Chief Selector and the intellectual infrastructure around him. Shan's performances at First Class level never merited selection. We criticize Imran Farhat for being an unfulfilled talent but compare his numbers at First Class, in a more challenging system to that of Shan Masood. Which openers in Domestic Cricket attack the opposition bowling unit at the top of the innings? Who intends to score and what do those metrics look like because the approach to survive at all costs is not sustainable?

The equivalent to this in bowling is intensity. Remember these are qualitative. Your bowlers are effectively your defense. Although we have deep analytics now, I primarily look at three statistics. Economy Rate, SR, and Average. The only difference is, I want to be more thoughtful about what these things mean. People generally view Economy Rate as a Defensive or a Negative Statistic. I don't. I view Economy Rate as a signal about the bowler. To me it signals that a bowler has control over his style of bowling. That he has a default to fall back on. The best bowlers do. Think logically, if a bowler is going above 3.50 in Domestic Cricket, will he be able to reduce that number against better competition internationally. Probably not. If he's above 3.50 the captain will not keep him on. The second statistic is SR. The SR signals a bowlers effectiveness or the regularity with which the bowler is bowling good deliveries. The average is a bowlers ability or lack thereof to reconcile these with the players ability to solve problems. Yasir Shah imo has a high bowling average.

There are other qualitative aspects to bowling. You can observe these aspects in field placings. Take for example, Imad Wasim. Imad is very accurate, but despite his accuracy he avoids keeping slip fielders. Keeping close in catchers and bowling with attacking and creative fields manifests itself in aggression. So yes, a boring Left Arm Spinner can be attacking. Another aspect is roster construction. For example, I would never go into a white ball match with less than 6 REAL Bowlers. India used to do this. They would go with 4 bowlers and 2 part-timers. That to me is a defensive approach manifesting itself in your bowling. What does this have to do with coaching or hiring a coach?

Before we can hire the right coach, we need to think about the game of cricket correctly. There needs to be a thorough examination and audit of Roster Construction, Lineup Construction, Positional Analysis, the Job of a Coach, where he sits in the Decision-Making Hierarchy, what is his functionality within that hierarchy?

In the post above I talk about Formations. As Jonathan Wilson eludes to in Inventing the Pyramid, Formations are important. They are as important in Cricket as they are in Football. There will come a day that apart from posting the XI before a match, broadcasters at least the intelligent ones will talk about the Formation. At a broader level I favor an 8-5 Formation for Test Cricket, and an 8-6 Formation for White Ball Cricket. Yes, 13 and 14 don't go into XI. It goes back to my earlier point. 13 and 14 does go into 11 when we include All Rounders. There is a problem with that though. Cricket defines Corey Anderson as an All Rounder. Corey Anderson is a batsman who bowls unwillingly. In our discussions around the selection of the T20 World Cup many pundits or so called pundits are putting Shoaib Malik in that category as well. Shoaib Malik for many years now is only batting. Rarely do any of his captains use him as a bowler. Yet one of the reasons to select Shoaib according to these pundits is that he bowls, which makes him redundant with Mohammad Hafeez who is a better performer at this stage in his career.

When hiring a coach in that meeting I would want to know what formations the Head Coach prefers (Primary, Secondary, Tertiary). I would also want him to breakdown the positions within those Formations. Third, I would want that coach to identify players who would fit those positions. The response to this would be, how would a foreign coach know who Aamer Jamal is or Musadiq Ahmed. That to me is problematic but not a disqualifier. The vast majority of coaches know very little about talent. Chris Silverwood is a good example. He has operated in the English System for years, but that's not reflected in his selection. To fix that problem you need to hire a selector who does possess this knowledge. Who thinks in this way. Remember you can ask these questions in an interview and you an document the requirement internally.

Finally, never let a Head Coach or a Chief Selector sell you experimentation. For me, that is a tell-tale sign that the person in question is unqualified. For example, I believe Azam Khan is a talented player because I've seen clips of him hit sixes. To test that talent I will throw him into international cricket and if he succeeds(what is that metric) I am right he is not only talented but also a good player. Alternatively if he fails he is not talented and not a good player. This approach exists in Pakistan Cricket because we don't have a process for anything.

We should have a Process for:

1. Appointing a Chairman
2. Hiring a Chief Executive
3. Hiring a Head Coach
4. Hiring a Chief Selector
5. Appointing a Captain
6. Building a Team(For Example, What is our Process for Evaluating Talent)?

Another POTW
 
Always a pleasure reading unemoloyedgm post's. He is one of the few on the forum that has been directly involved in the game and I value his insight.

I read a great article about how he got involved in the game, and the journey about he went from a fan to a winning GM is quite the story.
 
You can have a short-term approach or a long-term approach. You're right the vast majority of these attributes don't apply to both foreign or local coaches. But the purpose of the first and the second post is to illuminate how the board needs to think about these subjects. The action of getting or attracting a coach is completely different from how we think about the subject. My thought is only that we need to think about these subjects critically and more thoughtfully to increase the likelihood that we will hire the right person.

Fair enough. I see your point. It's just unfortunate that the PCB seem to have little desire of adopting long-term thinking. And until they don't, I don't see things ever truly changing.
 
Very well written post and well deserved for the effort but I have to disagree with the following:

"Two, Moreover that success was not the result of any process or system. It was random. More luck than skill. How do I know it was more luck than skill? Because it was skill and part of a well thought out long-term strategy, that strategy could be replicated. If you ask Imran Khan in 1992, Younis Khan in 2009, or Sarfraz Ahmed in 2017 how they won those competitions, they couldn't tell you."

That isn't entirely an accurate representation and I believe a lot, if not all of it is based on the misconception of 1992.

Pakistan in the build up to the team were arguably the best or second best ODI side on the planet and one of the very best test sides around. They had a solid unit, they knew how to play in most conditions, had won the Sharjah Cup, the Champions Trophy, the MRF Cup, beaten India, and in the immediate 2 hours, only lost 2 bilateral series at a time when ODI cricket was played in quantities similar to modern T20 cricket.

This was clearly a team gearing up for some thing big and they had worked out their formula, quick bowling and lower order hitting, a group of world class players combining experience and youth and the best captain in the game. What was surprising was Pakistan not starting the tournament well and the loss of Waqar.

that same template provided Pakistan with huge ODI success throughout the 90s, semi-finalists in 96 and finalists in 99. Based on Khan and cos template of lower order hitting and fast bowling with a good leggy around.

2009...Pakistan went into the tournament with some of the best T20 players of the era, Umar GUl? Check. Saeed Ajmal? Check. Best young pacer going? Check. Yasir Arafat who had played tonnes of T20 cricket in England? Check. Sohail Tanvir? Check. Shahid AFridi? Boom boom.

Since then, Pakistan have continued to prove their ability in the format and produce the best T20 players around. It was only about 2 years ago they were unbeaten and ranked one, having beaten the world champs twice.

The 2017 Champions Trophy then, may seem the bets bet for your argument but upon deeper analysis, it isn't.

Pakistan may not have been the best ODI team going but they were not as far behind the curve, especially in their batting, as the media made you believe. Just look at some of the stats -

From the end of the 2015 world cup till the start of the CT, England had produced the most 300+ scores, I can't even remember how many but it was way, way ahead of second placed SA.

India, hyped by many as the best batting line up on the planet, had scored the same number of 300+ scores as...you guessed it, Pakistan. I think the number stood at 9.

In that same time period, England had success in England, they had players, especially Amir, who understood the conditions. Now, certain other factors play a part, they always do. The weather was immensely hot that summer and the pitches dried out, helping both the Pak spinners (Shadab had already bowled well in similar heated conditions in the windies) and the art of reverse swing, even b grade Pakistani bowlers are superior to most other bowlers when it comes to this. Enter Hasan Ali. So entering the tournament, the win was not unthinkable, heck Pakistan were Rob Key's favourites.
 
Brilliant post from a brilliant poster.

We're accustomed to negativity whenever it comes to Pakistan cricket but it's nice to see a logical process that has been well thought out.
 
Thanks for the comments and feedback.

I truly believe that Pakistan Cricket can be the best in the world. Not because there’s more talent in Pakistan than let’s say South Africa, but because Cricket remains an inefficient market. Most Cricket Boards are poorly governed. Many of the ills that afflict Pakistan also afflict other countries and therein lies the opportunity. India is the best team in the world, but they are operating in a less competitive environment especially in Test Cricket where England and Australia lack enough proven talent to construct a Solid Playing XI.

We spend a lot of time talking about talent. In my opinion talent is immaterial because it can be cyclical. What’s more worrying is the lack of optimization of the existing talent. This isn’t a recent problem. Even in the 90s very few of those players achieved the numbers and longevity there talent merited.

Pakistan Cricket has an opportunity to fix things. But fixing things can’t be reduced to a new coach, captain, and aggressive cricket. The starting point is improved discourse on forums like Pakpassion.
 
No coach, player or non player will ever be accepted in Pakistan because the media and cricket fraternity will always conspire against that individual. Why? Because they all think they can do better.

One of the attributes of a good incoming coach should be the ability to withstand that criticism. Understand that it’s not personal it speaks to a larger societal issue.

You have to be very tough to be successful.
 
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