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Trump raises India tariffs to 50% over Russian oil purchases [Update@post#255]

Trump's 50% tariff on India kicks in as Modi urges self-reliance

Donald Trump's steep 50% tariffs on India have kicked in, weeks after the US president issued an executive order hitting the Asian country with an additional 25% penalty over its purchases of Russian oil and weapons.

This makes India - one of the US's strongest partners in the Indo-Pacific - among the countries paying the highest tariffs in the world. This could deal a blow to exports and growth in the world's fifth largest economy, given that the US was, until recently, India's largest trading partner.

The tariff setback has sent the Indian government into firefighting mode. Earlier this month, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi made a promise to cut taxes to mitigate their economic impact. He has also rallied for domestic self-reliance.

He said that a Diwali gift in the form of a "massive tax bonanza" was on its way for the common man and the millions of small businesses that power Asia's third largest economy.

Wearing a bright saffron turban and addressing crowds of spectators from the ramparts of Delhi's Red Fort during Independence Day celebrations, Modi also urged small shop owners and businesses to put up boards of "Swadeshi" or "Made in India" outside their stores.

"We should become self-reliant - not out of desperation, but out of pride," he said. "Economic selfishness is on the rise globally and we mustn't sit and cry about our difficulties, we must rise above and not allow others to hold us in their clutches."

He has since repeated these comments in at least two other public addresses this week.

For many watching, this is clearly aimed at countering Donald Trump's brutal 50% tariff rate on India which will disrupt millions of livelihoods across the country's export-driven industries that supply everything from clothes to diamonds and shrimp to American consumers.

Amid the blow, Modi's message to his countrymen has been loud and clear - both make in India and spend in India.

The former has proved increasingly difficult, with the share of manufacturing as part of India's gross domestic product (GDP) stagnating at 15% levels, despite his government rolling out subsidies and production incentives over the years.

But spurring long-pending tax reforms that immediately put more money into the hands of people could help the government soften some of the blow, experts say.

And so, after a $12bn income tax giveaway announced in the budget earlier this year, Modi is now aiming for an overhaul of India's indirect tax architecture – a reduction and simplification of the goods & service tax (GST).

GST, which was introduced eight years ago, replaced a maze of indirect taxes to reduce compliance and the cost of doing business.

But experts say it has too many thresholds and exemptions, making the system extremely complicated. They've repeatedly called for it to be revamped.

Now, Modi has precisely promised that, with India's finance ministry putting out a proposal for a simplified two-tier GST system.

"Combined with the income tax cut in place from April 2025... the GST rate reforms [likely worth US$20bn; £14.7bn] should together provide a meaningful push to consumption," analysts from Jeffries, a US brokerage house, said after the announcement.

Private consumption is a mainstay of India's economy, contributing to nearly 60% of the country's GDP. While rural spending – supported by a bumper harvest – has remained strong, demand for goods and services in cities has continued to slow down due to lower wages and job cuts in major sectors like IT, post the pandemic.

Modi's "fiscal stimulus" or tax cuts should help ensure a consumption recovery, according to investment banking firm Morgan Stanley. It will push GDP up and drag inflation down.

"This is particularly crucial amid headwinds from ongoing global geopolitical tensions and adverse global tariff-related developments that might impair external demand," Morgan Stanley said.

Among the sectors most likely to benefit from the tax breaks are consumer-facing ones such as, scooters, small cars, garments and even things like cement that goes into making homes, where demand typically picks up pace around Diwali.

While the specifics are unknown, most analysts estimate that the revenue loss on account of a lower GST would be offset by surplus levy collections and higher than budgeted dividends from India's central bank.

According to Swiss investment bank UBS, the GST cuts will also have a larger "multiplier effect" than the previous corporate and income tax cuts undertaken by Modi, as they "directly affect consumption at the point of purchase, potentially leading to higher consumer spending".

Modi's tax handouts could also increase the probability of a further interest rate reduction by India's central bank, which has already slashed rates by 1% in the past few months - something that is likely to spur more lending, according to analysts.

This, along with a boost in the salaries of some half a million government employees that kicks in early next year, will help India's economy retain its growth momentum, they say.

India's stock markets have cheered these announcements. And despite the panic caused by trade uncertainties, earlier this month, India also got a rare sovereign rating upgrade from S&P Global, after a gap of 18 years. A sovereign rating measures how risky it is to lend to a government or invest in a country.

This is significant because it could lower the government's borrowing costs and improve foreign investment flows into the country.

But even as Modi rushes through with long-delayed reforms, India's growth prospects have slowed significantly from the 8% levels seen a few years ago, and its external crisis shows no sign of ebbing.

The war of words between Delhi and Washington, especially over the latter's energy purchases from Russia, have only intensified and trade negotiations which were set to begin earlier this week, have been called off.

Meanwhile, at 50%, the tariffs on India are akin to a sanction on trade between the world's biggest and fastest growing economies, say experts - a scenario that would have been unthinkable even just a few months ago.

BBC
 
India is on the brink of sealing a multi-billion dollar jet engine deal with General Electric, a move that could redefine the country’s defense and technological landscape.

Modi is playing 7D chess right now, keeping every global power on its toes and every analyst guessing.

At this point, he’s just extending his lead as the greatest international leader of his generation. What an absolute chad.
 
India is on the brink of sealing a multi-billion dollar jet engine deal with General Electric, a move that could redefine the country’s defense and technological landscape.

Modi is playing 7D chess right now, keeping every global power on its toes and every analyst guessing.

At this point, he’s just extending his lead as the greatest international leader of his generation. What an absolute chad.
More like crushing Pakistan which any Indian leader can do in their sleep. Maintaining close relationship with Russia Israel and Europe and getting played by USA and China.. the two most powerful countries... Hardly a Chad .. more like outplayed
 
Has the dead economy been revived yet?

I'm loving the silly stories. Modi ignored Trump's call. Trump needs Modi. Modi done p!ss and Russian oil came out.

Waiting for the 5 weeks later news that it was actually India that placed tariff on USA.
 
Modi doesn't have the luxury of ignoring Trump's call and playing jilted lover. POTUS holds all the cards. Pick the call, bewakoof.
Modi is doing the right thing. This is not about individuals but about sending a message: the US must realize that India is no pushover, and their threats won’t intimidate the world’s fourth-largest economy. India has effectively handed the US an “L,” continuing business with Russia while also working to mend relations with China.

India is not Pakistan or Bangladesh, where the US can walk in and change regimes at will. On top of that, today’s India is led by a Prime Minister like Modi—someone who would rather die than allow the nation’s self-respect to be compromised.

Modi will pick his call but at a time and place decided by us and not Amreeka.

Woh tarikh bhi hamari hogi, woh waqt bhi hamara hoga aur woh din bhi hum mukkarar karenge jaani

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:kp
 
Trump's doubling of tariffs hits India, damages relationship with US

U.S. President Donald Trump's doubling of tariffs on imports from India to as much as 50% took effect as scheduled on Wednesday, delivering a serious blow to ties between the two countries that became strategic partners after the turn of this century.

A punitive 25% tariff imposed due to India's purchases of Russian oil adds to Trump's prior 25% tariff on many imports from the South Asian nation. It takes total duties to as high as 50% for goods such as garments, gems and jewellery, footwear, sporting goods, furniture and chemicals - among the highest imposed by the U.S. and on par with Brazil and China.

The new tariffs threaten thousands of small exporters and jobs, including in Prime Minister Narendra Modi's home state of Gujarat, and are expected to hurt growth in the world's fastest growing major economy.

There was no domestic market reaction to the move on Wednesday as bourses were closed for a Hindu festival but equity benchmarks logged their worst session in three months on Tuesday after a Washington notification confirmed the additional tariff.

The Indian rupee also continued its losing streak for a fifth consecutive session on Tuesday, ending at its lowest level in three weeks.

While the tariff disruption would be bruising, it may not be all gloom and doom for the world's fifth largest economy if New Delhi can further reform its economy and become less protectionist while seeking to resolve the crisis with Washington, analysts said.

India's Commerce Ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Wednesday. However, a Commerce Ministry official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said exporters hit by tariffs would receive financial assistance and be encouraged to diversify to markets such as China, Latin America and the Middle East.

A U.S. Customs and Border Protection notice to shippers, opens new tab provides a three-week exemption for Indian goods that were loaded onto a vessel and in transit to the U.S. before the midnight deadline.

Also exempted are steel, aluminum and derivative products, passenger vehicles, copper and other goods subject to separate tariffs of up to 50% under the Section 232 national security trade law.

Indian trade ministry officials say the average tariff on U.S. imports is around 7.5%, while the U.S. Trade Representative's office has highlighted rates of up to 100% on autos and an average applied tariff rate of 39% on U.S. farm goods.

FAILED TALKS

As the midnight activation deadline approached, U.S. officials offered no hope for India to avert the tariffs.

Wednesday's tariff move follows five rounds of failed talks, during which Indian officials had signalled optimism that U.S. tariffs could be capped at 15%, the rate granted to goods from some other major U.S. trade partners including Japan, South Korea and the European Union.

Item 1 of 6 Trucks with shipping containers are parked at Jawaharlal Nehru Port, in Navi Mumbai, India, August 27, 2025. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas

[1/6]Trucks with shipping containers are parked at Jawaharlal Nehru Port, in Navi Mumbai, India, August 27, 2025. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

Officials on both sides blamed political misjudgment and missed signals for the breakdown in talks. Their two-way goods trade totaled $129 billion in 2024, with a $45.8 billion U.S. trade deficit, according to U.S. Census Bureau data.

Washington says India's purchase of Russian oil helps fund Moscow's war in Ukraine and that New Delhi also profits from it. India has rejected the accusation as double standards, pointing at U.S. and European trade links with Russia.

EXPORTERS LOSE COMPETITIVE EDGE

Exporter groups estimate the tariffs could affect nearly 55% of India's $87 billion in merchandise exports to the U.S., while benefiting competitors such as Vietnam, Bangladesh and China.

Rajeswari Sengupta, an economics professor at Mumbai's Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, said allowing the rupee to "depreciate is one way to provide indirect support to exporters" and regain lost competitiveness.

"The government should adopt a more trade-oriented, less protectionist strategy to boost demand, which is already slacking," she said.

S.C. Ralhan, president of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations, said the government should consider a one-year moratorium on bank loans for affected exporters, besides extending low-cost credit and easier availability of loans.

Sustained tariffs at this rate could dent India's growing appeal as an alternative manufacturing hub to China for goods such as smartphones and electronics.

"Up to 2 million jobs are at risk in the near term," said Sujan Hajra, chief economist at the Anand Rathi Group.

"Yet the bigger picture is less gloomy: India's export base is diversified, its corporate earnings and inflation outlook remain intact, and domestic demand is robust enough to cushion the blow," he said.

The U.S.-India standoff has raised questions about the broader relationship between India and the U.S., important security partners who share concerns about China.

However, on Tuesday the two issued identical statements saying senior foreign and defence department officials of the two countries met virtually on Monday and expressed "eagerness to continue enhancing the breadth and depth of the bilateral relationship".

Both sides also reaffirmed their commitment to the Quad, a partnership that brings together the U.S. and India with Australia and Japan.

 
Trump and the MAGA aren't loyal to anyone except their White supremacist ideology. The Hindutuva tried to get in with school bully because he would bully their perceived enemies. It didnt take too long for the bully to turn on them
 
India is on the brink of sealing a multi-billion dollar jet engine deal with General Electric, a move that could redefine the country’s defense and technological landscape.

Modi is playing 7D chess right now, keeping every global power on its toes and every analyst guessing.

At this point, he’s just extending his lead as the greatest international leader of his generation. What an absolute chad.
images
 
Just like Pakistanis are giving peace price to Donald Trump just because he is going after India even though he supports Israel and send arms to kill thousands of Palestine kids

👏
You know my views on this but India also supports the Genocide by Israel. The Hindutuva salivate at the thought of killing Muslims.
 

Summary
  • India saved $17 billion by ramping up Russian oil imports, say analysts
  • Trump’s new tariffs of up to 50% could slash Indian exports to U.S. by $37 billion, say analysts
  • Labour-heavy sectors like textiles, gems, and jewellery face major job losses
  • India open to buying more U.S. energy but won’t abandon Russia entirely, say sources

This is some 7D chess from Surrender Modi .... should keep playing it :D
 

Summary
  • India saved $17 billion by ramping up Russian oil imports, say analysts
  • Trump’s new tariffs of up to 50% could slash Indian exports to U.S. by $37 billion, say analysts
  • Labour-heavy sectors like textiles, gems, and jewellery face major job losses
  • India open to buying more U.S. energy but won’t abandon Russia entirely, say sources

This is some 7D chess from Surrender Modi .... should keep playing it :D

wow its that simple eh? no one in India knows 37 > 17. I hope the govt of india takes note of this, they have got such a simple math wrong
 
Saudi Arabia and India were biggest buyers of Russian fuel oil in July, data shows

Saudi Arabia and India were the top destinations for Russian seaborne fuel oil and vacuum gasoil (VGO) exports in July, traders said and LSEG data shows.

Since the European Union's full embargo on Russian oil products took effect in February 2023, Middle Eastern and Asian countries have become the main destinations for Russia's fuel oil and VGO supplies.

Direct fuel oil and VGO shipments from Russian ports to Saudi Arabia totalled about 1.1 million metric tons in July, little changed from June, shipping data showed.

Most of the cargoes were destined for power plants because Middle Eastern countries typically burn crude and high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) for energy generation between June and August, when air conditioning demand spikes.

Russian dark oil products loadings to India rose last month by 65% from June to about 0.6 million tons, LSEG data shows.

India imports straight-run fuel oil and VGO from Russia as a cheaper alternative to Urals crude oil in its refinery feedstock pool.

Though Russia continues to be the biggest oil supplier to India, oil imports declined in July by a quarter month on month as some refiners slowed purchases owing to smaller discounts.


 
You know my views on this but India also supports the Genocide by Israel. The Hindutuva salivate at the thought of killing Muslims.
No we salivate at the though of killing terrorists who work on behalf of governments to kill civilians in the name of religion... They are the pathetic scum of this earth.. needs to be eradicated ..
 
lol trump saying 7 planes were shot down followed by “they don’t even tell the real numbers”. Poor Indians getting body slammed from their big brother.
He has come down from 1000s of year to 100s of year. So it looks like Paksitan surrendered as they got the trade deal as they gave up their country even after getting their bases blasted... India didn't .. so got tarrifed.. feel good decision by Munir.. he can easily fool the uneducated and sell the humiliation as victory.. but getting tarrifed with such a bad economy wont fool their awam as you can't hide lack of jobs and food
 
Has the dead economy been revived yet?

I'm loving the silly stories. Modi ignored Trump's call. Trump needs Modi. Modi done p!ss and Russian oil came out.

Waiting for the 5 weeks later news that it was actually India that placed tariff on USA.
Agree with you modi’s illiterate joker cause of his action Indian economy is almost stagnant he can only make false promise and lies and top of that bhakts believe in that 4th fail chaiwalas gossip who failed our nation at every front. I would like suggest you a youtube channel to show his real face its @shyammeerasingh1 .modis’s womaniser too and used to spying on a girl named mansi soni.
 
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