Robert
Test Star
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By no longer being members of the Labour Party, these breakways will not have access to the Labour grassroots organisations, Constituency Labour Parties, and all that it entails. They won't even have any local constituency offices and facilities to start off with.
The CLP's will just elect new candidates, and sure they will lose many voters, but at the same time, there are many voters who vote for Labour regardless of who the candidate is. That's why they're called 'safe seats' and why, historically, both Conservatives and Labour leaderships 'parachute' friends and family members into their respective safe seat constituencies.
So it might dent Labour's chances of winning marginal seats at the next General Election, but the breakaways, other than the odd one here and there, will never get elected at the next election.
In 1982, 28 MPs left Labour to form the SDP. Some 80,000 people joined the new party, of which 60% had never been in a political party before. So there were the activists and offices.
Most lost their seats in 1983. But I wonder if a hypothetical SDP2 of Remainers would do better, given that no Falklands Factor will save the Tories who are about to wreck on the rocks of Brexit.