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I completely agree.
I am afraid a sad news about begum Kulsoom and sympathy vote can turn the tables. Jazbaati qaum he
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I completely agree.
I am afraid a sad news about begum Kulsoom and sympathy vote can turn the tables. Jazbaati qaum he
I'm not sure how big an affect that would have. Benazir was a totally different case, she was the party leader, two time Prime Minister, and also a figure loved and admired by the masses. Kulsoom Nawaz has never been someone people followed or admired, people only knew her as Nawaz Sharif's wife.
they rented a house round to corner from my place in islu. This was during mushy's time. After they vacated the property, the landlord wasnt paid a dime and when he tried to get his money he was given the gullu butt treatment...not physically beaten but threatened.
Who rented?
I am afraid a sad news about begum Kulsoom and sympathy vote can turn the tables. Jazbaati qaum he
Whenever you post about Shekhu's two constituencies i get depressingly angry at PTI's folly.
In reality PTI has the potential to clean sweep Rawalpindi if PTI avoids making mistakes. With Nisar also contesting as an independent the wave is definitely with PTI. In urban areas of Islamabad PTI was already very strong. Tsunami is truly there in Rawalpindi.

I'm not sure how big an affect that would have. Benazir was a totally different case, she was the party leader, two time Prime Minister, and also a figure loved and admired by the masses. Kulsoom Nawaz has never been someone people followed or admired, people only knew her as Nawaz Sharif's wife.
Sympathy Vote after 5 years govt ?. I would say it will backfire. MASSIVELY.
Had PMLn been sitting on opposition benches, Sympathy Vote was up for them to grab. In our society, No Govt will get Sympathy Vote, No matter whatsoever victim card it plays. NEVER.
If PMLn are planning to play this card (which I doubt they will) , it's advantage Opposition.
Here is the scenario on 7 NA of Rawalpindi in case there is no seat Adjustment with Ch Nisar.
Going by recent surveys it's safe to say PTI (+Sheikh) stand more than 50% chances of winning NA-61 > NA-60, NA-62, NA-63. (these 3 seats includes areas like Raja Bazar, Taxila, Rawalpindi Cantt etc)
NA-60 > NA-61 was up for an easy grab but PTI risked it by giving it to Shiekh Rasheed as mentioned by [MENTION=146984]awan_from_soon[/MENTION]
NA-59 PTI chances increased there because of divided vote between Ch Nisar and PMLN. There is not even a slight chance of PMLN winning it and its going to be between Ch Nisar and PTI.
PTI is really weak in NA-57 (Murree area, PMLN's Khaqan Abbasi will probably win it) and PTI is also weak in NA-58 (Gujjar Khan area, according to reports its going to be a 3 way fight there PMLN vs PTI vs PPP)
Agree with this overall assessment. Just corrected some erroneous numbering.
Are you sure about NA61? I thought NA61 ticket is given to Aamer Mehmood Kiani and Sheikh is given 60 and 62?
please check http://www.insaf.pk/public/insafpk/pti-candidates-election-2018
I hope you guys are right and i am proved wrong for the good! but i have seen people voting for MNAs and MPAs again once his / her corrupt father dies. This jazbaati qaum got a short term memory
Lol, now consider my situation - an ardent PTI supporter who has been mobilizing people in his constituency since Hina Manzur days and now all my bat-centric groundwork for the party has been zeroed by the handover to AML's qalam dawat.
To give you an idea, during my free time I was printing and distributing PTI leaflets in NA-61 for 4 months in the lead up to candidates' announcement. I haven't distributed a single one since. No point.
[MENTION=133865]hussain.r97[/MENTION] this poll estimates 51 seats for PPP, that's quite different from your estimate.
The loss of MQM is gain of PPP.
If anyone you have the right for a dharna outside banigala.
Regarding above discussion, I don't believe victim card can be any useful in Kulsoom Nawaz's health case. To be honest, there are no signs that it will be used to that extent. There is simply no parallel between Kulsoom and BB. In addition to one being completely apolitical and the other a head of political party , the nature of their illness is completely different. BB was murdered when she was pretty active and healthy.
May Kulsoom Nawaz recover well and have a long life.
"Mujha kyon nikala" despite the fact how much we disagree with is a victim card that has better chances of being heard than Kulsoom's illness.
Bhai yahan Govt k 1 saal baad public start bashing govt. N-League and PPP survived through 90s because they mastered the art of "Early and Safe Exit" after 2-3 years govt.
We are an impatient nation and In our society, public get fed up within momths. Any attempt to cash for sympathy vote will backfire if you were in govt. Someone Allowed to complete 5 years term is a big opportunity but an even bigger challenge/curse.
Look where is PPP after one complete term of 5 years. Merely non-existent in Punjab and restricted to parts of Sindh.
This was the reason why there were created false news by PMLn to Invite Martial Law in months preceding retirement of Raheel Sharif. They wanted to build their narrative "5 saal pooray karnay detay to Paris bana detay Pakistan ko".
Earlier I read through some posts and surveys predicting PMLn to win 70 NA seats. Bhai half century be nahi honi.
Regarding above discussion, I don't believe victim card can be any useful in Kulsoom Nawaz's health case. To be honest, there are no signs that it will be used to that extent. There is simply no parallel between Kulsoom and BB. In addition to one being completely apolitical and the other a head of political party , the nature of their illness is completely different. BB was murdered when she was pretty active and healthy.
May Kulsoom Nawaz recover well and have a long life.
"Mujha kyon nikala" despite the fact how much we disagree with is a victim card that has better chances of being heard than Kulsoom's illness.
From what I get they seem to be giving seats to PPP from Punjab based on their 11% there. Their popular vote numbers are more important as those are real figures, their seat projections see all speculative. Though I do agree that PPP are going to make gains in Karachi for siure.
Who are the people who are conducting these surveys? Why don't they have a legitimate website?
They and their lifafas and supporters are playing this "humain milne nae dya gaya card" although their name was never put on ECL by their own interior minister so who stopped them from getting over this mujhe kyun nikala and visit her?
IB/ISI and other intel agencies must be doing their surveys too without voters knowledge based on ground situation i wish we had access to their research they are very close to reality because their guys are always mixed in common people and report from their posted location instead of visiting place to place and prepare a report based on interviews of a few.
Honestly not sure why they don't have a website. They do seem reasonably new compared to other companies, and talking to them, they do seem genuine. They said that one of the major three political parties are a client of theirs.
In any case, surveys in Pakistan are interesting but should be taken with a grain of salt. Historically, Gallup have been the only major surveying company to survey for the elections, and they always turn out to be wrong, and that too by some margin, so I don't see why we can't give these guys a chance. Interestingly, Gallup and these guys are coming out with totally different numbers. Gallup currently have PML-N on 38% and PTI on 25%, doesn't seem right.
Gallup Shafi is not dependable. I remember he estimated 18-20 seats for PTI last time. PTI actually won around 30 despite massive rigging. In fact if not rigging PTI would have had 40 seats in previous elections. So, gallup Ejaz Shafi's error margin was 100 percent in calculating PTI seats.

Asim Nazir one of the strongest electable of Faisalabad contect Ch Nisar and agreed to contest Indep (he refused PMLN ticket). I can see those who refused PMLN ticket from Jhang joining Ch Nisar group soon.
Muslim LEague Hum Khayal in making? anyway interesting times ahead!
There used to be a poster 'Insaftak' during the last elections. I wonder where he is now? My social media and these forums used to be flooded videos and photos of crowded rallies and speeches. Now there's no buzz and there's negativity everywhere. PTI is no longer as popular as last time around even here on PakPassion.
Telling you again Boss. Half Century be nahi honi.
PTI cancels one NA ticket and one PP ticket given to Ayesha Nazir because she decided to contest from one more NA constituency?
A very poor decision from PTI. Now, PML-N will sweep Vehari.
Ayesha Nazir and family are immensely popular.
True they are popular they were acting just like Major Tahir. They were contesting Independent on some seats against PTI and on PTI ticket from other seats.
Did not know they were contesting against PTI as independents.That’s very unethical.
What will PTI do know? I do not see any good candidate from Vehari.
The Jutt Family was given three tickets yet they wanted more. Height of greed. No other family in Punjab got three tickets!
PTI cancels one NA ticket and one PP ticket given to Ayesha Nazir because she decided to contest from one more NA constituency?
A very poor decision from PTI. Now, PML-N will sweep Vehari.
Ayesha Nazir and family are immensely popular.
There is absolute mum from parliamentary board. Tickets need to be finalized by this weekend.
There is absolute mum from parliamentary board. Tickets need to be finalized by this weekend.
Wait what... some tickets are still not finalized?
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="ur" dir="rtl">لاہور:پنجابیوں کی تعدادزیادہ ہے،ووٹ دےکرسیاسی لاڈلےکوفارغ کرناہے،خواجہ سعدرفیق<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Abbtakk?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Abbtakk</a></p>— AbbTakk (@AbbTakk) <a href="https://twitter.com/AbbTakk/status/1009872825715494912?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="ur" dir="rtl">لاہور:پنجابیوں کی تعدادزیادہ ہے،ووٹ دےکرسیاسی لاڈلےکوفارغ کرناہے،خواجہ سعدرفیق<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Abbtakk?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Abbtakk</a></p>— AbbTakk (@AbbTakk) <a href="https://twitter.com/AbbTakk/status/1009872825715494912?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
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That'd be the 'ladla' who has ruled Punjab for 30 years and has been the PM three times.
Oh sorry, I was mixing Imran Khan with the real Ladla.
PTI candidate from NA256 Karachi is Najeeb Haroon he paid 40 crore rupees tax in last 3 years what's his sources of income? must be a very very rich man
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PTI candidate from NA256 Karachi is Najeeb Haroon he paid 40 crore rupees tax in last 3 years what's his sources of income? must be a very very rich man
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Since almost a week I have used all resources available incl surveys to assess if & where merit may have been ignored in ticket allocation. I assure all who have submitted complaints that before announcing the final list I will ensure that where merit was bypassed it is restored.</p>— Imran Khan (@ImranKhanPTI) <a href="https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI/status/1010092984149438464?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 22, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Looks like he is definatley leaving the PMLN!! and is open to joining the PTI!!
Looks like he is definatley leaving the PMLN!! and is open to joining the PTI!!
Did you guys watch Waseem Badami's show in NA243? PTI seems to be FAR ahead of others which is great to see and also noticed quite a lot of them voted for PTI in 2013 as well.
MQM seems to have lost most of the support (more than i even expected).
Some of MQM supporters even supporting Tekreek e Labbaik or MMA (surprised to see this).
PPP has also gained but not as much as PTI in this constituency.
Is this historically MQM stronghold? If this trend continues in other areas of Karachi then PTI will have a huge chance of winning 6-8 seats from Karachi.
No he is exactly the kind of person that PTI is fighting against.
Looks like he is definatley leaving the PMLN!! and is open to joining the PTI!!
But its worth stringing him along so that he causes Nooras real problems in Lahore.
Did you guys watch Waseem Badami's show in NA243? PTI seems to be FAR ahead of others which is great to see and also noticed quite a lot of them voted for PTI in 2013 as well.
MQM seems to have lost most of the support (more than i even expected).
Some of MQM supporters even supporting Tekreek e Labbaik or MMA (surprised to see this).
PPP has also gained but not as much as PTI in this constituency.
Is this historically MQM stronghold? If this trend continues in other areas of Karachi then PTI will have a huge chance of winning 6-8 seats from Karachi.
Or he might just end up being a mole like Hashmi. That presser was needlessly aggressive, almost to the extent that it seemed choreographed.
I heard some people even manipulated the survey results, ab ye aik banda bechaar kya karay. Shah Mahmood Qureshi has been busy securing tickets for his family and relatives. Nazir Jutt family from Vehari acted like greedy idiots even after being awarded 3 tickets.
If anything, Jahangir Tareen deserves huge respect for working tirelessly without any personal gains.
Imran Khan has spent many days (weeks) just going through applications and even reviewing the appeals and facing angry protesters but there are way too many greedy leeches around him.
I heard some people even manipulated the survey results, ab ye aik banda bechaar kya karay. Shah Mahmood Qureshi has been busy securing tickets for his family and relatives. Nazir Jutt family from Vehari acted like greedy idiots even after being awarded 3 tickets.
If anything, Jahangir Tareen deserves huge respect for working tirelessly without any personal gains.
Imran Khan has spent many days (weeks) just going through applications and even reviewing the appeals and facing angry protesters but there are way too many greedy leeches around him.
They are still in the PTI fold. Saw tickers on 92 news about Nazir's interview to 92 news. He says whatever Imran will decide we will follow, and PTI will clean sweep from Burewala.