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Indian general election - April and May 2019 - Discussion Thread

Gabbar Singh

Gabbar Singh

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Close to 900 million voters are eligible to vote in the Indian general election which is likely to take place over April and May of this year.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Indian_general_election

The last couple of results:

_74925191_indian_election_maps_side_by_side_624.gif


Opinion polling:

QXYzQvzk.png


The top two candidates for the PM post are once again Modi and Gandhi.

Modi-vs-Gandhi-Who-will-win-the-battle-of-2019.jpg


Thoughts/News/Predictions?
 
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For India’s sake hope Rahul Ghandi wins . His party is not perfect but at least it isn’t extremist in nature .,
 
BJP will win around 180 seats, down from 280+. Will be the single largest party but will have to sit in the opposition. the only mystery is about who would be the prime minister.
 
Hope the next PM of India isn't an extremist chota admi
 
Well, it should ideally be a BJP or Congress government with at least 240-250 seats to the party alone.

The last thing we need is a Mahagatbandhan AKA a half decade long cabinet post demanding, money leaching operation.
 
Modi should win. He is many things but I don't think he is hypocrite or corrupt.
 
Hope its BJP.

Because if its Congress they will need the MGB and they will make the govt corrupt and inefficient.On top of that RaGa is not a leader and his advisers are incompetent.

If any third front emerges than god save this country.
 
cricketjoshila said:
Hope its BJP.

Because if its Congress they will need the MGB and they will make the govt corrupt and inefficient.On top of that RaGa is not a leader and his advisers are incompetent.

If any third front emerges than god save this country.
Click to expand...
CJ dada is BJP a savarna party?
 
Bjp will win 225 and nda will win 275-285 seats, [MENTION=43583]KingKhanWC[/MENTION] Rahul gandhi is a tool, doesn't know what to say, Modi is here to stay.
 
Hope it's congress from a Pakistani POV. BJP and Modi is too anti Pakistan. From the opinion polling tho it looks BJP will sweep India yet again.
 
My guess is BJP gets restricted 175 seat & Modi gets the boot if there coalition forms the Government .
 
BJP has managed to do some much needed damage control by bringing in the reservation bill. Loads of upper caste people happy about it.
I predict around 220 seats for them.
 
It's hard for any logical person to vote for Congress. They have absolutely no achievements, vision. They aren't fighting for any positive reasons. It's all sole anti-Modi. In 2014, Modi presented with a Gujarat Model and was praised/criticized for it. Where is the Congress agenda?
 
What about Aam Admi Party... do they have any chance?
 
TM Riddle said:
BJP has managed to do some much needed damage control by bringing in the reservation bill. Loads of upper caste people happy about it.
I predict around 220 seats for them.
Click to expand...

How many needed for simple majority?
 
Syed1 said:
What about Aam Admi Party... do they have any chance?
Click to expand...

AAP is limited to Delhi and some parts of Punjab, will be lucky to get 3-4 seats this time, Punjab is expected to see a Congress wave and Delhi has only 7 seats, and BJP will win a few.
 
I think BJP will get around 220, should be enough to form a flaky coalition government. Compared to 2014 they will take heavy hits in UP and Maharashtra and that will prove costly.

DMK crooks will sweep Tamil Nadu and that will suck. Our beloved and iconic Puratchi Thalaivi Amma passed away too soon, she had many flaws but DMK is the most corrupt party in the country and more worryingly Stalin won't even attempt to control his rowdies.
 
For the sake of India’s future Modi has to come to power. It’d be a disaster if he wouldn’t. It will be a massive blow to our economy. He’s someone who genuinely wants India to prosper.

Congress knows only one way to rule. Appease everyone. Offer freebies to everyone. And loot whatever is remaining. No economy would prosper under such a government.
 
It will be a complex election unlike last time when everyone knew Modi will win. In 2014 BJP crossed the majority mark on its own without any allies. But this time neither BJP nor Congress will win on its own. So it all depends which party can manage its allies better.

UP politics will be king maker. If there is no Mahagatbandhan, NDA will win and Modi will become PM again. But if mahagatbandhan happens, i.e Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav form an alliance together, it will be a hung assembly. We may see a non congress-non bjp Federal front govt.

But it comes with a massive risk. This mahagatbandhan is only happening bcoz no party can take on Modi 1 to 1. Its an alliance to stop Modi rather than serving the country. If alliance wins, there is no PM face. Mayawati and Akhilesh dont like each other either. So it will break down and there will be another election within 6 months.

There is another alliance emerging between Mamta Banerjee and KCR. Mamta Didi is already dreaming of becoming PM.

Then there is ofcourse Rahul Gandhi led Congress (UPA).

So this election will be between NaMo's NDA vs RaGa's UPA vs Mahagatbandhan vs Mamta/KCR.
 
cricketjoshila said:
Bjp plus ADMK plus PMK plus DMDK plus Rajni moral support.

Do the maths.
Click to expand...

DMK+Congress will sweep the state and I say this with a heavy heart, I can see the sentiment on the ground. Congress as usual will lay an egg. And the actors will be irrelevant at least this year, 2021 may see a different story.

And don't mention others.
PMK- target only Vanniyars and influence in 1-2 constituencies, DMK has gained ground there
DMDK- Captain is not keeping well, party is in disarray
 
Bua-Bhatija alliance in UP.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Akhilesh Yadav, Mayawati To Contest 50:50 In UP, No Entry For Congress <a href="https://t.co/tj51FcyZSH">https://t.co/tj51FcyZSH</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NDTVNewsBeeps?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NDTVNewsBeeps</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/AkhileshYadav?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#AkhileshYadav</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Mayawati?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Mayawati</a> <a href="https://t.co/mmNSDcgCWK">pic.twitter.com/mmNSDcgCWK</a></p>— NDTV (@ndtv) <a href="https://twitter.com/ndtv/status/1084034765878149120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 12, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Collectively they got over 40% of the voteshare in UP in 2014.
 
Gabbar Singh said:
Bua-Bhatija alliance in UP.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Akhilesh Yadav, Mayawati To Contest 50:50 In UP, No Entry For Congress <a href="https://t.co/tj51FcyZSH">https://t.co/tj51FcyZSH</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NDTVNewsBeeps?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NDTVNewsBeeps</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/AkhileshYadav?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#AkhileshYadav</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Mayawati?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Mayawati</a> <a href="https://t.co/mmNSDcgCWK">pic.twitter.com/mmNSDcgCWK</a></p>— NDTV (@ndtv) <a href="https://twitter.com/ndtv/status/1084034765878149120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 12, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Collectively they got over 40% of the voteshare in UP in 2014.
Click to expand...

But the thing is you are taking the 2017 by election into pictures, but general election is a whole different beast all together.
 
Congress seeking Pakistan help to oust Modi government: Nirmala Sitharaman

NEW DELHI: Defence minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Saturday accused Congress of seeking help from Pakistan to remove Narendra Modi as the PM even as the neighbouring country has been isolated in the world arena due to the government's diplomatic moves.

"Congress leaders are playing dirty politics by seeking help from Pakistan to remove PM Modi's government," Sitharaman said and asked the BJP workers to spread awareness about the government's achievements, especially that Modi has provided "corruption-free" five years, which also saw no major terror attack during the period.

She said the government was able to implement various social welfare schemes because it was able to maintain peace, which was its top priority. Exhorting BJP workers to highlight two issues, she said: "First, that there has been no major terrorist attack after 2014. All attempts to wreak havoc in the country have been eliminated at the border itself. And second, that we have had corruption-free five years."

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com...t-nirmala-sitharaman/articleshow/67507659.cms
 
Sitharaman just sprouting nonsense now with no proof ,hopefully average Indian realizes that there have been terror attacks too,if not surgical strikes are not possible, maybe she is confused?
 
JaDed said:
Sitharaman just sprouting nonsense now with no proof ,hopefully average Indian realizes that there have been terror attacks too,if not surgical strikes are not possible, maybe she is confused?
Click to expand...

To be fair, she isnt wrong. Other than J&K, and miltary, in mainland India, it has been relatively safe. Pre-2014, there were always some random serial blasts happening everywhere in the country.
 
So BSP & SP has stitched together their communal alliance. An alliance just to get complete Muslim consolidation. With 30% votes plus their individual castr vote bank, this communal alliance is a formidable challenge for BJP.
 
someone21 said:
To be fair, she isnt wrong. Other than J&K, and miltary, in mainland India, it has been relatively safe. Pre-2014, there were always some random serial blasts happening everywhere in the country.
Click to expand...

Since 26/11 it's been relatively safe..if it's not including pathankot ..
 
someone21 said:
So BSP & SP has stitched together their communal alliance. An alliance just to get complete Muslim consolidation. With 30% votes plus their individual castr vote bank, this communal alliance is a formidable challenge for BJP.
Click to expand...

But you are forgetting one thing, this is a general election for a state election, a general election is fought on national issues unlike state one, beside here nda has a face but mahathugbandhan has many faces.
 
JaDed said:
Sitharaman just sprouting nonsense now with no proof ,hopefully average Indian realizes that there have been terror attacks too,if not surgical strikes are not possible, maybe she is confused?
Click to expand...

Why does BJP have to play the Pakistan card before every major election? They did it before Bihar, Gujarat, Telangana, again here. I doubt the major Pakistani political parties bring in India this often before their elections. This obsession is sickening, so many problems in the country and BJP pulls out these cheap stunts.
 
Bubby said:
But you are forgetting one thing, this is a general election for a state election, a general election is fought on national issues unlike state one, beside here nda has a face but mahathugbandhan has many faces.
Click to expand...

Who are you kidding? Many communities just vote on religious/caste lines. So Muslims + Dalit + Yadav is both very solid and overwhelming favorities. Thus a communal alliance.

And Congress is going to play spoilers and snatch some crucial votes of BJP by having majority upper caste as their candidates in UP. So Congress not in the alliance is all part of the grand plan.
 
Didnt Mani Shankar Iyer once said in a show in Pakistan - "Inhe (BJP) hataiye aur hume (congress) le aaiye". What did he mean Pak should remove BJP and get congress?
 
Hopefully Modi wins and proclaims a Hindu Rashtra, also gets the Mandir built in Ayodhya finally so no doubts are left as to the fate of 'sickulars' as the BJP puts it
 
Bubby said:
But the thing is you are taking the 2017 by election into pictures, but general election is a whole different beast all together.
Click to expand...

Bubby said:
But you are forgetting one thing, this is a general election for a state election, a general election is fought on national issues unlike state one, beside here nda has a face but mahathugbandhan has many faces.
Click to expand...

State elections are of course different than general elections however if you take into account the following for UP:

The 2004 general election;
The 2007 assembly election;
The 2009 general election;
The 2012 assembly election;
The 2014 general election;
The 2017 assembly election.

The BSP and SP have always received between ~20-30% of the vote-share each. So with a pre-poll arrangement for 2019 where both wont contest for the same seats they are going to eat into a huge chunk of the BJP's 71/80 2014 total. The BJP's voteshare in UP only needs to drop 5-6% statewide for them to lose a lot of seats.

I think the BSP/SP alliance may play a huge part in this election even if they only get 30-40 seats together.

Time will tell I suppose.
 
gazza619 said:
NEW DELHI: Defence minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Saturday accused Congress of seeking help from Pakistan to remove Narendra Modi as the PM even as the neighbouring country has been isolated in the world arena due to the government's diplomatic moves.

"Congress leaders are playing dirty politics by seeking help from Pakistan to remove PM Modi's government," Sitharaman said and asked the BJP workers to spread awareness about the government's achievements, especially that Modi has provided "corruption-free" five years, which also saw no major terror attack during the period.

She said the government was able to implement various social welfare schemes because it was able to maintain peace, which was its top priority. Exhorting BJP workers to highlight two issues, she said: "First, that there has been no major terrorist attack after 2014. All attempts to wreak havoc in the country have been eliminated at the border itself. And second, that we have had corruption-free five years."

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com...t-nirmala-sitharaman/articleshow/67507659.cms
Click to expand...

So very isolated :))
 
Gabbar Singh said:
State elections are of course different than general elections however if you take into account the following for UP:

The 2004 general election;
The 2007 assembly election;
The 2009 general election;
The 2012 assembly election;
The 2014 general election;
The 2017 assembly election.

The BSP and SP have always received between ~20-30% of the vote-share each. So with a pre-poll arrangement for 2019 where both wont contest for the same seats they are going to eat into a huge chunk of the BJP's 71/80 2014 total. The BJP's voteshare in UP only needs to drop 5-6% statewide for them to lose a lot of seats.

I think the BSP/SP alliance may play a huge part in this election even if they only get 30-40 seats together.

Time will tell I suppose.
Click to expand...

Main thing however is will the vote bank stick together,
 
Gabbar Singh said:
State elections are of course different than general elections however if you take into account the following for UP:

The 2004 general election;
The 2007 assembly election;
The 2009 general election;
The 2012 assembly election;
The 2014 general election;
The 2017 assembly election.

The BSP and SP have always received between ~20-30% of the vote-share each. So with a pre-poll arrangement for 2019 where both wont contest for the same seats they are going to eat into a huge chunk of the BJP's 71/80 2014 total. The BJP's voteshare in UP only needs to drop 5-6% statewide for them to lose a lot of seats.

I think the BSP/SP alliance may play a huge part in this election even if they only get 30-40 seats together.

Time will tell I suppose.
Click to expand...

Also 5-6% is a huge drop if you ask me.
 
Swashbuckler said:
Why does BJP have to play the Pakistan card before every major election? They did it before Bihar, Gujarat, Telangana, again here. I doubt the major Pakistani political parties bring in India this often before their elections. This obsession is sickening, so many problems in the country and BJP pulls out these cheap stunts.
Click to expand...

Cheap stunts are done by all parties, Congress does the caste one, Dravidians do the anti-caste and Tamil language one (Kanimozhi),Vaiko the Lankan one, RJD,SP,BSP all do the caste one or language one(Hindi), Shiv Sena does the language one, you are singling out BJP coz of bias. I dislike BJP too but I know all parties do the same, as far as i see only BJD from Orissa sometimes seems genuine but i could be wrong coz nothing much comes out from Orissa.
 
cricketjoshila said:
What is Congress or MGB's vision, except to stop Modi?
Click to expand...
And what is Modi's vision apart from cow, statues, him being dalit and chaiwala to boot, Ram temple, more cows, beef, go to Pakistan, Shamshan-Kabristan, and some more cows?
 
MP2011 said:
And what is Modi's vision apart from cow, statues, him being dalit and chaiwala to boot, Ram temple, more cows, beef, go to Pakistan, Shamshan-Kabristan, and some more cows?
Click to expand...

What is the gdp growth rate and the Inflation?
 
I hate BJP but would probably vote for them anyway just to see the defeated faces of Indian pseudo liberals which would be such a delight to watch when they come back to the power again in May :))

Jai Shree Ram:afridi
 
Always interesting to see closet Hindutva supporters play the 'Oh I hate BJP but will vote for them anyway' card, they are ashamed to be seen as extremists by others but can't let go off the inherent nature :))like many closet Trump supporters. Then there is another type (often overlapping with first type) who portray themselves as atheists but will come into full flow when Hindu Gods come into discussion. Got to love this place, exposes the soft underbelly of society.
 
I voted for Congress in my state elections and am glad that arrogant woman Vasundhara was thrown out.
But it's really amusing to watch Urban Naxals squirming and running around sucking upto enemy countries whenever the elections are nearer.
Oh the joy it would bring when BJP comes back next May.
I wonder if people would return their POTWs ala 'award wapasi' of last time:afridi
 
What's even more funny is to watch people portraying themselves as Hindus even though it's crystal clear which religion they come from:moyo

Jai Shree Ram.
 
What's funny is so called anti BJP posters not only have a soft corner for BJP but also join the Sanghis in deciding religion of others, and the 'urban naxal' tag perfected in the Sanghi lab of hate politics :14:.
Oh the joy it will be to see more and more Indians join the so called urban Naxal movement and destroy BJP in the 2019 polls, will be fun to see the patriots label 70% of the population as urban Naxals :))). Topping on the cake will be seeing Modi-Shah arranging rallies in Tamil Nadu with zero crowd followed by a rout in the state. Will make it a point to celebrate with crackers outside state BJP unit on result day when they continue their long tradition of failing in the land of Tamils :yahoo.

Jai Hind
 
A big thanks to Modiji for the economic progress India has achieved in last 5 years.
Correct me if I'm wrong but the economic success has been equitable in distribution in the sense that every community of India availed it's benefits.
No wonder I see so few cycle puncture shops these days since apparently all of their owners seem to be posting on forums these days:)))

Padhega India tabhi toh Badhega India:akhtar
 
BJP to Tamil and Malyali Hindus:

When I look into your eyes
I can see a love restrained
But darlin' when I hold you
Don't you know I feel the same.
Nothin' lasts forever
And we both know hearts can change
And it's hard to hold a candle
In the cold November rain.

:afridi :asif :akhtar

If you wanna love me then darling don't refrain:moyo
 
Tamil and Malyali Hindus in reply to Hindutva:

Kaise bataayein
Kyun tujhko chahe yaara bataa na paye
Baatein dilo ki dekho jo baaki
Aankhein tujhe samjhaye
Tu jaane na, tu jaane na :anwar
 
Jai Shree Ram Mitron . It's going to be saffron all over India this time around:sachin
 
Feelings of a Tamil Hindu for BJP entirely summarized in this classic from REO Speedwagon:

Oh, I can't fight this feeling any longer
And yet I'm still afraid to let it flow.
What started out this friendship has grown stronger ,
I only wish I had the strength to let it show. :asadrauf
 
cricketjoshila said:
What is the gdp growth rate and the Inflation?
Click to expand...
Is that the best you could come up with?

Same GDP 'growth', whose calculation methodology has been changed multiple times by Modi just to show favourable numbers for his massive bungling of Indian economy?

As for inflation, really? Petro product prices have seen heights which weren't thought of ever! And that after crude being very reasonably priced in international market for most of his tenure! In fact it was below USD 40 for quite a bit.

I shudder to think what Modi would've done to us had he encountered petro prices in excess of USD 140 per barrel? Do you know how many times taxes were hiked on petro products and what ratio is them vs their actual price? Such a huge scam by Modi on unsuspecting Indians.
 
Varun said:
_____ (Insert Name Here) _____ Scam.

5G is coming to India, so my money is on 5G-gate.
Click to expand...
Would gladly take a 5G scam if that means getting rid of Modi & Shah permanently!

I don't have any problems with Sushma, Rajnath or Gadkari etc. But those 2 have just vitiated the atmosphere of India, have brought their Gujarat brand of 'governance' to India! Thanks, but no thanks! Gullible Gujaratis deserve this duo, not entire India.
 
MP2011 said:
Is that the best you could come up with?

Same GDP 'growth', whose calculation methodology has been changed multiple times by Modi just to show favourable numbers for his massive bungling of Indian economy?

As for inflation, really? Petro product prices have seen heights which weren't thought of ever! And that after crude being very reasonably priced in international market for most of his tenure! In fact it was below USD 40 for quite a bit.

I shudder to think what Modi would've done to us had he encountered petro prices in excess of USD 140 per barrel? Do you know how many times taxes were hiked on petro products and what ratio is them vs their actual price? Such a huge scam by Modi on unsuspecting Indians.
Click to expand...

I will repeat my question. Whats the GDP and Inflation rates?
 
MP2011 said:
Would gladly take a 5G scam if that means getting rid of Modi & Shah permanently!

I don't have any problems with Sushma, Rajnath or Gadkari etc. But those 2 have just vitiated the atmosphere of India, have brought their Gujarat brand of 'governance' to India! Thanks, but no thanks! Gullible Gujaratis deserve this duo, not entire India.
Click to expand...

Let India decide than.They decided in Modi's favour in 2014. They may again decide in his favour. You are free to not vote for Modi.

Nice regionalistic potshots. Thats all you got. Right?
 
Lol...not sure why our Southie bros getting so excited. Its a general election for India and not some Rajanikanth's next movie. Irrespective of who becomes PM, it wont be a south Indian for sure....so calm down.
 
cricketjoshila said:
How many Prime Ministers have TN given this country?

Can any TN party win 10 LS seats outside TN?

1 state doesnot decide who will run this country.
Click to expand...

These people from Southern states somehow considers themselves to be more important than they actually are. Andhra people want special status for their state. Karnataka people want seperate flag for their state. Less said about Kerala and TN people's nakhras...its better. Someone need to knock some sense in them and let them know...its general election. Southern states though important but wont decide who will become PM. There is no one from Southern States that is in run for PM.

Classic case of people over estimate their worth :))
 
Canford Cliffs said:
These people from Southern states somehow considers themselves to be more important than they actually are. Andhra people want special status for their state. Karnataka people want seperate flag for their state. Less said about Kerala and TN people's nakhras...its better. Someone need to knock some sense in them and let them know...its general election. Southern states though important but wont decide who will become PM. There is no one from Southern States that is in run for PM.

Classic case of people over estimate their worth :))
Click to expand...
Please don't group all 'southies' together. We all have our differences in opinions but at the end of the day we all want our nation to progress.
 
TM Riddle said:
Please don't group all 'southies' together. We all have our differences in opinions but at the end of the day we all want our nation to progress.
Click to expand...

Well then ask them also not to generalize. What does that memes mean "Sanghis arent welcome in TN". Since when one poster speaking behalf of all people in Tamil Nadu? I know many people in South India who adores and admires Modi. Don't forget BJP got the highest vote in Karnataka election last year before Congress did that unholy alliance with JDU to form govt (now Kumaraswamy repenting FYI).
 
Canford Cliffs said:
Well then ask them also not to generalize. What does that memes mean "Sanghis arent welcome in TN". Since when one poster speaking behalf of all people in Tamil Nadu? I know many people in South India who adores and admires Modi. Don't forget BJP got the highest vote in Karnataka election last year before Congress did that unholy alliance with JDU to form govt (now Kumaraswamy repenting FYI).
Click to expand...

Yeah that particular poster might have some issues with BJP and he often takes the hatred too far by bringing Modi in completely irrelevant discussions such as the one about Akon visiting Pakistan.
 
cricketjoshila said:
I will repeat my question. Whats the GDP and Inflation rates?
Click to expand...
Be happy with these fixed rates then. 70% of Indian population lives in villages and they have nothing to do with these rates. They have only become worse off in last 4.5 years.

Modi found that out after 0-5 result in last assembly elections. So he has coined yet another jumla, 10% reservation for upper caste. Rest assured he won't talk about it in few months from now just like he doesn't talk about demonetization.
 
cricketjoshila said:
How many Prime Ministers have TN given this country?

Can any TN party win 10 LS seats outside TN?

1 state doesnot decide who will run this country.
Click to expand...

Is that a bloody achievement? Of course the baby poppers will decide who gets to be PM. Thankfully Tamils have chosen the wise path of controlling fertility rate.
 
cricketjoshila said:
Let India decide than.They decided in Modi's favour in 2014. They may again decide in his favour. You are free to not vote for Modi.

Nice regionalistic potshots. Thats all you got. Right?
Click to expand...
Regionalistic potshots? It's a fact that entire India has to pay dearly due to this failed Gujarati model of governance.

As for 2014, India didn't decide in Modi's favour. They decided against Congress.
 
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