I'm beginning to get a little scared now. The thing is that independents aren't doing so well this election, and it is even reflecting in the polls with them polling at 13% as against 27% in 2013. This will probably translate to independents getting around 11 seats. What this means is that if PTI win 100 seats, independents will only take them to 111. Where will the other 26 seats come from? GDA are set to lose seats, while the other smaller parties are not going to win a significant amount of seats either. If we add AML, PML-Q, GDA, BAP, PSP, BNP, and PML-Z, it would take PTI to 130 seats, meaning that they would need to convince MQM-P to join.
This is far from ideal as even if PTI end up forming government with so many parties, it will be a total nightmare getting bills passed through the assembly. PTI really need to push hard for this last week. The aim should be to win 110+ seats, and form a strong government with parties that are more co-operative like AML, BAP, and PML-Q. The less we have from the GDA, PSP, BNP, PML-Z lot, the better.
At this stage, there is absolutely no doubt that PTI will emerge as the single largest party in Pakistan. The main thing to look at now is whether or not they can get enough seats, and strike deals with smaller parties to form government.