Dont know if you are reverse jinxing or what LOL but Ind is the absolute fave for sure. Anything can happen on the day sure , but the pre game fave by a distance has to be Ind. They have all bases covered compared to Pak and man to man the team sheet is so much superior to Pak plus the home advantage.. And yes bat 1st is the way to go in high pressure games or knock out games..In pressure matches batting first is way to go . England bowling were not a great in that match so they lost the match.
new ball definitely swing under light if we can take two wickets early then we have some chance otherwise we are not going win while chasing against Pakistan anyway