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Minimum wins for a chance at the 2019 World Cup semi-finals / Wins that guarantee a semi-final slot

Yeah, rain can hurt any team at random - but we cannot give up hope. I'll try to make a detailed post showing some possible combinations. I wasn't going to do this but... my original prediction for Pakistan was that we would lose to Windies, England and India and beat SL and Aus (so we'd have 6 points). The SL washout was bad, but losing to Australia is worse and now I am in full panic mode and can't focus on anything anyway so might as well make an excel sheet :P

If you can do it then it would be wonderful. You may even be a POTW contender.
[MENTION=93712]MenInG[/MENTION]
 
Pakistan is one crazy team. They can comeback from the bottom or go to bottom from top place. Even today they had an ingame unpredictability.
 
To win the WC we will have to win 6/7 in a row. I don't see us qualifying anyway.

Looks tough bro but lets hope and support the team. I guess its 1 game at a time from here on.

Today we played terrible cricket but there is so much potential in this team, I can see them lift again.
 
Looks tough bro but lets hope and support the team. I guess its 1 game at a time from here on.

Today we played terrible cricket but there is so much potential in this team, I can see them lift again.

I don't have much hope. I have never felt so low as a Pakistan fan.
 
We have 3 points from 4 games .
We have 5 games left, weather permitting.
From my calculations, you will need 12 points to automatically qualify to the semis.
Therefore, we will need to win all 5 of our remaining games,with a maximum of only 1 washout, if we are to qualify for the semis.
I dontl't think this is realistic.
So effectively, we have been knocked out of this years world cup after 4 games.
Do you agree?
Hmm. I dont think thats right. We can still loose to India and win the remaining games to get to the semis. We will need NZ and WI to loose some games on the way.

Still possible but i still cannot see how we will win against NZ though.
 
Friends: I have created an Excel spreadsheet that allows you to do what-if scenarios. And Pakistan can definitely qualify. Need to beat NZ, AFG, SA. Beating India will seal it, but we can do without it as well.

Check this out. I am a techie ... no skills in social networking. :( Would appreciate if someone could help spread the word.
http://nmoghal.pbworks.com/w/page/134068980/wc2019

Oh, and any feedback is greatly appreciated!
 
Friends: I have created an Excel spreadsheet that allows you to do what-if scenarios. And Pakistan can definitely qualify. Need to beat NZ, AFG, SA. Beating India will seal it, but we can do without it as well.

Check this out. I am a techie ... no skills in social networking. :( Would appreciate if someone could help spread the word.
http://nmoghal.pbworks.com/w/page/134068980/wc2019

Oh, and any feedback is greatly appreciated!

[MENTION=93712]MenInG[/MENTION]
Help this guy out please
 
Problem with pak is that we are capable of winning against a team like eng india one day and losing against afghanistan the next day,so even the last few matches aren't a given.
 
I don't have much hope. I have never felt so low as a Pakistan fan.

Supporting Pakistan isnt easy and thats coming from a person who was 11 years old when pak had that horror final vs AUS in the 99 WC.

I always say you dont support a team for the fun you support them the most during the hard times.

Cheer up and lets be hopeful.
They will surprise us inshallah!
 
IND/SA/NZ/BANG - need to win 3 out of 4 of these games. I would like to assume AFG will be a given... but it's Pakistan we're talking about.
 
4 wins from the next 5 is the minimum. We cannot qualify with less than that I'm pretty sure. We also need the top 3 teams to win as many games as possible(except against us) so that the 4th spot is more open. NZ losing only 1 game(against us) would put them at 16 points. India winning every game except against NZ and us would put them at 14 points as well. England winning every game except NZ and India would also put them at 12 points. The only real contenders left for that 4th spot is Us, Australia, West Indies and Bangladesh. Australia need to start losing some games to open that 4th spot up. But even then, 4 wins will still be required for us unless rain comes down on others matches.
 
:)) Why are Pak fans acting as if their world has collapsed.

Before the WC began, how many would have slotted in Australia as a team that would be beaten en route to the semis?

I think the problem is, some Pakistani fans are falling into the trap of having seen India beat Aus and so expect their team to do the same. This is your ego talking.

Calm down. Pak is gonna make the semis.

Here, I gave that to you in writing.
 
:)) Why are Pak fans acting as if their world has collapsed.

Before the WC began, how many would have slotted in Australia as a team that would be beaten en route to the semis?

I think the problem is, some Pakistani fans are falling into the trap of having seen India beat Aus and so expect their team to do the same. This is your ego talking.

Calm down. Pak is gonna make the semis.

Here, I gave that to you in writing.

I think it's because we (at least I am) are expecting to lose to India on Sunday, got hammered by the WI and shared a point with SL. We shouldn't have lost to the WI and SL has never beat Pakistan in a WC so we would have preferred the two points over just the one. Considering all of this, a win against Australia was very important going into the big game on Sunday and for Pakistan's prospects of reaching the semis.
 
So basically Aus needs to loose against New Zealand, England and South Africa
WI Needs to loose against New Zealand, England, and India
And Pakistan needs to win 4/5 which is possible
I going to sleep and start dreaming
Good luck
 
So basically Aus needs to loose against New Zealand, England and South Africa
WI Needs to loose against New Zealand, England, and India
And Pakistan needs to win 4/5 which is possible
I going to sleep and start dreaming
Good luck

I’m about to sleep too. IA we win atleast 4/5 and make semis before I wake up
 
WC is done and dusted for both Pak and BD I would say. New target for Pak should be to best India. BD should target to be in top 6 then its a whatever world cup.
 
WC is done and dusted for both Pak and BD I would say. New target for Pak should be to best India. BD should target to be in top 6 then its a whatever world cup.

I swear for me if we beat India I don't really care about anything else.
 
With a performance like this, Pak will never win consecutive matches. They crumble under pressure and drop catches. Our batsman keep getting a start but throw it away. No lower order hitter. No good new ball partner for Amir. Too many weaknesses. Most importantly, our batsman are a sitting duck against short ball. Lokie Ferguson and Rabada will eat our batsman. This match against Australia was there to win but brainfade from Imam, Hafeez resulted in collapse. Asif and Malik need to go. Better invest in Hassan Ali as a hitter than Asif.
 
WC is done and dusted for both Pak and BD I would say. New target for Pak should be to best India. BD should target to be in top 6 then its a whatever world cup.

Both teams still have a realistic chance of making the SF, but yes may be few other results have to go in favour. For example, SRL has got 2 points from 2 wash outs - now, they can beat WIN, SAF & win one of the big 3 games (not impossible- they have done it in past), or Kiwis can win 3 more games - both PAK, BD are almost certainly out thereafter.

Looking from a positive angle, both PAK & BD has their fate still at own hand - win 3 of the next 4 games, PAK-BD last game will be effectively QF or even both can qualify regardless of the result of that game.

As of now, BD have to win one unexpected game against IND or AUS and obviously have to win 3 against WIN, AFG & PAK. PAK probably has a little easier task because of that win against top seeded ENG - win two of three games against IND, NZ & SAF and obviously has to win over AFG & BD. But, BD has a slight advantage in case of both ending on same points - NRR is still much better.

Improbable, but not impossible - I hope mathematically both teams are still active till the last game.
 
Or if Pakistan beats India, then rest of competition is not so difficult.
So only game that they need to win will be that one. Rest will follow.

We have won 2 out of last 18 games. Don’t get where the optimism is coming from to win 6/7 in a row.
 
NZ are lucky.

Got through all easy teams without rain, even if their games get washed out now against ind/ aus/ eng they will be in semis :facepalm:

BDesh and Pak have been unlucky with rain so far.
 
:)) Why are Pak fans acting as if their world has collapsed.

Before the WC began, how many would have slotted in Australia as a team that would be beaten en route to the semis?

I think the problem is, some Pakistani fans are falling into the trap of having seen India beat Aus and so expect their team to do the same. This is your ego talking.

Calm down. Pak is gonna make the semis.

Here, I gave that to you in writing.

Actually I thought Aus were much stronger than in reality, after yesterdays game I realised they were there for the beating if Pakistan had not self destructed.

But I didn't have expectations of semi final anyway, so a couple of decent performances to finish the competition with heads held (relatively) high will do for me.
 
If Pakistan win on Sunday, then they'll have beaten the two favorites for the WC. After that, I guess anything is possible .....
 
Actually I thought Aus were much stronger than in reality, after yesterdays game I realised they were there for the beating if Pakistan had not self destructed.

But I didn't have expectations of semi final anyway, so a couple of decent performances to finish the competition with heads held (relatively) high will do for me.

Australia were actually the much stronger team for most of the time batting and it took a Herculean Amir performance restrict them to 307 when 350 was there for the taking.

Australia won 4 sessions batting and lost just the last one.

In bowling, Australia lost the first 2 sessions, but in the 3rd session they effectively killed off the game.

Don't let Wahab and Hasan cameos fool you into thinking Australia were equivalent to Pakistan. They were much better throughout the match and only a ridiculously good Amir performance made the match closer than it actually was.

If 350 had been scored, Pakistan were dusted. (and it should have).
 
The ICC have turned a World Cup into some bizarre tournament that is predominantly league based.

I wouldn’t complain if it happened to the side I support but the fact that you can lose 3 or 4 matches (+ a no result or two) yet still make the semi finals and thus potentially win the whole thing make a mockery of what sport at the elite level should be.
 
The ICC have turned a World Cup into some bizarre tournament that is predominantly league based.

I wouldn’t complain if it happened to the side I support but the fact that you can lose 3 or 4 matches (+ a no result or two) yet still make the semi finals and thus potentially win the whole thing make a mockery of what sport at the elite level should be.

Its the best format.
Australia won in 99 despite losing couple of group games too. We had the horrible super 6 then.. which kind of helped pakistan.

As for luck, its the least luck based. Rain is a part of cricket sometimes. Lets not forget -pakistan would not even be in the semis in 92 had it not been for extreme luck and rain.
 
Updated; Pakistan needs to win against against SA, NZ, Afghanistan and Bangladesh to qualify for semis.
Its predicted taking weather in account for next 10 days and assuming no upsets in the tournament.
These matches will eventually decide the 4th semis spot;
➡ NZ vs SA (predicted to be wash out)
➡ WI vs NZ (predicted NZ to win)
➡ Pakistan vs NZ (predicted Pakistan to win)
 
Updated; Pakistan needs to win against against SA, NZ, Afghanistan and Bangladesh to qualify for semis.
Its predicted taking weather in account for next 10 days and assuming no upsets in the tournament.
These matches will eventually decide the 4th semis spot;
➡ NZ vs SA (predicted to be wash out)
➡ WI vs NZ (predicted NZ to win)
➡ Pakistan vs NZ (predicted Pakistan to win)

If all goes well and newzealand looses to Australia,england and Pakistan,we will qualify for semi final,even if we loose against india.
 
Guys what i am wondering is once South Africa loses one of the next two games against Afghanistan and New Zealand, they will be out of the Tournament.

Thereafter they may up their game to salvage some pride with nothing to lose approach. During the coarse of which they may pour water on contention of borderline teams which are semi final contenders who are in must win situation for remaining matches

Watch out for South Africa once they are out of the Tournament
 
If all goes well and newzealand looses to Australia,england and Pakistan,we will qualify for semi final,even if we loose against india.

But dosent that mean NZ will win 2 more and be at 11 points same as Pak, with higher NRR
 
Most probably India, England and Aus are through. The last spot is going to be between NZ, WI, Pak and SA. Yes South Africa. Don't write SA off.. they have matches against Afg, SL, Pak and NZ all of which they can win. one upset win against Australia suddenly they are at par with what Pak hopes to be and SA will have a better NRR to boot. They may still self destruct but their fate is still in their hands and their path is not as difficult as someone would imagine.

Actually, NZ and Pak have more difficult path forward than SA. NZ still ahve to play Eng, SA, Australia and Pak and each one of them are capable of beating NZ convincingly although on the current form SA and NZ might struggle a bit
 
Theoretically, a team can reach in semifinal with just 3 wins or 6 points.

Total matches in the round robin are 45 - 10 teams playing 9 matches each. Say top team wins all 9, second team wins 8, third one gets 7. That’s a total of 24. The remaining 7 teams share the remaining 21 matches as 3 each or 6 points. Then the fourth SF team is decided by run-rate among the remaining seven.

Now this is not very practical, but any team getting 8-9 points have a good chance, provided India, Eng and NZ wins most of their matches and Aus loses its.
 
But dosent that mean NZ will win 2 more and be at 11 points same as Pak, with higher NRR

Yup. even if Pak wins all their remaining matches they can still be eliminated based on NRR. NZ will gain a point today and they can win the remaining four (after dropping one against Pak) and still qualify only based on their points. Even if they win just three out of their last five matches they can still qualify as they have much better NRR than Pak. As of today Pak fate is not fully in its hand. even after winning all their remaining matches they may still get eliminated where as NZ, Windies and even SL can cruise through if they win their remaining matches.
 
Friends: I have created an Excel spreadsheet that allows you to do what-if scenarios. And Pakistan can definitely qualify. Need to beat NZ, AFG, SA. Beating India will seal it, but we can do without it as well.

Check this out. I am a techie ... no skills in social networking. :( Would appreciate if someone could help spread the word.
http://nmoghal.pbworks.com/w/page/134068980/wc2019

Oh, and any feedback is greatly appreciated!

Thats brilliant work!

Thanks.
 
Pak missed golden chance to beat Aus. Entire morale of team would have changed with such a victory and confidence would have gone sky high.

WI loss was a bad day, but frankly Pak was never in the game. It is a write-off .

Semi final chance will be missed because of those 2 poorly executed pulls from Imam and Babar. Else it was a comfortable 7 wkt victory on cards
 
With NZ and India splitting points, both teams are best placed to be in final 4. Most vulnerable is England. India, Aus and WI all can beat England. That may be best route for Pakistan if Pakistan is able to beat WI RR
 
Need SA to win against england, australia. Think australia aint out of the woods yet. NZ have played weaker teams but have points on the board. Cant see pakistan winning 4/5 matches to be honest. Maybe if they beat India.
 
India, England and Aus looking solid for a top 4 finish.

NZ picking up a point against India was bad news for Pakistan.
 
India, England and Aus looking solid for a top 4 finish.

NZ picking up a point against India was bad news for Pakistan.

England heading towards a win here it seems. So what now needs to be done for Pakistan? Is it as simple as 5 out of 5?
 
India has yet to play against:

- Pakistan

- Afghanistan

- West Indies

- England

- Bangladesh

- Sri Lanka

New Zealand has yet to play against:

- South Africa (most probably a washout)

- West Indies

- Pakistan

- Australia

- England

What Pakistan needs to do is assure they win 4/5 or 5/5 matches and hope NZ or India lose a couple of matches.
 
India has yet to play against:

- Pakistan

- Afghanistan

- West Indies

- England

- Bangladesh

- Sri Lanka

New Zealand has yet to play against:

- South Africa (most probably a washout)

- West Indies

- Pakistan

- Australia

- England

What Pakistan needs to do is assure they win 4/5 or 5/5 matches and hope NZ or India lose a couple of matches.

you seriously think India can lose out with games remaining against Ban, Sri, Afg, WI??? Lets not create too much false hope. the NZ scenario or even potentially Aus missing out is much more likely than India creating spot for us.
 
you seriously think India can lose out with games remaining against Ban, Sri, Afg, WI??? Lets not create too much false hope. the NZ scenario or even potentially Aus missing out is much more likely than India creating spot for us.
Pakistan, Bangladesh and England are capable to beat India tbh.
 
India won't lose to minnows in SL & Bangla, their bowling is too good! Even if they lose to England it is irrelevant for our hopes.

Once we lost to India (hope we don't but prob will) - then we need to win our remaining 4 games.
Then hope NZ lose 2 of their other 4 matches (very reasonable).

Then it all comes down to NRR! If we are close by the time we get to our last 2 games we can look to improve RR!

Wish Buttler came in today though- we needed England to ruin Windies' run rate even further!!
 
Pakistan, Bangladesh and England are capable to beat India tbh.

bhai saab India only need to win 3 more games to end up equal to Pak on 11 pts (assume we win 4 like you said), and their NRR is much higher and ours is worst among all teams at -1.74.

they can easily win 3 out of Afg, Srl, WI.

beyond that they can completely eliminate our chance to displace them by simply winning 1 out of Ban, Pak, Eng (or even one washout among these).

lets be objective, their team is among top 2-3 contenders for the title itself with their superior bowling, experience, training/fitness/fielding, no-fear among younger players - IPL experience, and few top quality batters along with depth/experience of Dhoni in middle to guide in tense situation if needed. I really really dont see them not making it to Semis, but we can wait and watch.
 
you seriously think India can lose out with games remaining against Ban, Sri, Afg, WI??? Lets not create too much false hope. the NZ scenario or even potentially Aus missing out is much more likely than India creating spot for us.

India can lose to Eng and Pak. To an extent, also can lose to the WINDIES.
 
Good result for Pakistan today. Some serious damage to Windies nrr too.
 
Lets just worry about ourselves only. India game is must win otherwise we are out of the tournament. Pathetic display against WI has caused this match to become a must win.
 
Good result for Pakistan today. Some serious damage to Windies nrr too.

Don’t think the Windies were ever our competition for top 4 which is why losing to them was inexplicable...

Four teams we’re competing with are England, Aussies, NZ and India and the chances of us displacing any of these teams is nigh on impossible...

So in conclusion: I’ll be heading to the bookies tomorrow to have a flutter on Pakistan winning the cup ��
 
Good result for Pakistan today. Some serious damage to Windies nrr too.

There are other more serious oppositions Pakistan have to worry about for that fourth spot, don't think West Indies will get near that 4th spot in the end.
 
Whilst we're into spreadsheets, here's a very basic overview of scenarios of select key games in Yellow highlight whilst assumed results are in Blue - also a No Result option for Pak v Ind which shows the 1 point could still be good outcomeWC Predict.jpg
 
This team doesn't deserve the luck of getting abandoned games and getting through because of getting a point from them.

Want all our games to be played.
 
This team doesn't deserve the luck of getting abandoned games and getting through because of getting a point from them.

Want all our games to be played.

Mate who cares about deserving. It's a world cup, I'm delighted to stumble through and piggy back on rain , if it means we get through
 
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We can still qualify even if we lose tomorrow.

The scenarios would then be(excluding rain):

As our net run rate is pretty poor and we could only get a maximum of 11 points if we win all of the remaining games against SA, NZ, Afg, Ban, after the India game. We would have to rely that our competing teams don't get to 11.

For that, we would want England, Australia and India to win all of their matches against the teams who we are competing with for the 4th spot. That is:

1) England to win all of their remaining matches and finish with 8 wins, 1 loss. 16 points.

2) India to win 7 games, 1 loss, 1 NRR. 15 points.

3) Australia to win 7 games, 2 loss. 14 points.

4) Pakistan to win 5 games, 3 loss, 1 NRR. 11 points.

5) New Zealand already has 7 points, that means we only want them to gain 2 or at most 3 more points from 5 more games, but that is very much possible as they will now face tougher opponents who can all beat them.

We would want them to win against WI and lose to all of England, Australia, Pakistan and South Africa.

Finishing at 4 wins, 4 loss, 1 NRR. 9 points.

6) West Indies currently has 3 points and we would want them to only gain 6 or 7 points more.

They can beat Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Afghanistan, then lose to India and New Zealand to finish at 4 wins, 4 loss, 1 NRR. 9 points.

Don't think other teams would have a realistic chance to qualify.

7) South Africa to win against New Zealand, Sri Lanka and Afghanistan and lose to Pakistan and Australia. Finishing at 3 wins, 5 loss, 1 NRR. 7 points.

8) Bangladesh to finish with 2 wins, 6 loss, 1 NRR. 5 points.

9) Sri Lanka, 1 win, 6 loss, 2 NRR. 4 points.

10) Afghanistan 0 win, 9 loss. 0 points.
 
Any team needing washouts and flukes to make it to the semis wouldn’t deserve the cup anyway.

I think the top 4 right now are the best 4 teams.

Pakistan and West Indies need to play good cricket from here on to make it to top 4. Very much possible.
 
We can still qualify even if we lose tomorrow.

The scenarios would then be(excluding rain):

As our net run rate is pretty poor and we could only get a maximum of 11 points if we win all of the remaining games against SA, NZ, Afg, Ban, after the India game. We would have to rely that our competing teams don't get to 11.

For that, we would want England, Australia and India to win all of their matches against the teams who we are competing with for the 4th spot. That is:

1) England to win all of their remaining matches and finish with 8 wins, 1 loss. 16 points.

2) India to win 7 games, 1 loss, 1 NRR. 15 points.

3) Australia to win 7 games, 2 loss. 14 points.

4) Pakistan to win 5 games, 3 loss, 1 NRR. 11 points.

5) New Zealand already has 7 points, that means we only want them to gain 2 or at most 3 more points from 5 more games, but that is very much possible as they will now face tougher opponents who can all beat them.

We would want them to win against WI and lose to all of England, Australia, Pakistan and South Africa.

Finishing at 4 wins, 4 loss, 1 NRR. 9 points.

6) West Indies currently has 3 points and we would want them to only gain 6 or 7 points more.

They can beat Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Afghanistan, then lose to India and New Zealand to finish at 4 wins, 4 loss, 1 NRR. 9 points.

Don't think other teams would have a realistic chance to qualify.

7) South Africa to win against New Zealand, Sri Lanka and Afghanistan and lose to Pakistan and Australia. Finishing at 3 wins, 5 loss, 1 NRR. 7 points.

8) Bangladesh to finish with 2 wins, 6 loss, 1 NRR. 5 points.

9) Sri Lanka, 1 win, 6 loss, 2 NRR. 4 points.

10) Afghanistan 0 win, 9 loss. 0 points.

South Africa vs new Zealand will be crucial for us.I hope that the saffers beat newzealand for us and do a favour.
 
Loosing rest of the matches will be a bless in disguise for us to get rid of current TTFs, useless selector and pathetic management.
We may replace them with better and honest people so that we may do well good constantly without riding our luck and get more cups and good position in ranking.
 
Pakistan is going nowhere as long as they persist with Mohammad Hafeez, Shoaib Malik and Sarfraz Ahmed, whose age I am deeply sceptical of.

The best thing that can happen is an early exit and a big clear out - also including Azhar Ali from the Test Team - so that they can tour Australia in five months with a Test team of:

1. Shan Masood (c)
2. Imam-ul-Haq
3. Haris Sohail
4. Babar Azam
5. Mohammad Rizwan (wk)
6. Umar Akmal
7. Shadab Khan
8. Faheem Ashraf
9. Mohammad Amir
10. Shaheen Shah Afridi
11. Mohammad Abbas
 
It’s a World Cup , so to keep it exciting the format should be like a Cup , with multiple knockout stages, all the way to the final.

Otherwise if you are just going to have a league format like this then might as well just give the title automatically every 4 years to the No. 1 ranking ODI team.

For me an exciting World Cup tournament format should have 2 groups of 6 teams who play each in round robin format, which gives an opportunity to promote cricket for associate teams by letting them qualify for the World Cup also. Top 3 from each group go through to 2nd Round ( Super Six ) - let them play each other and Top 4 go to Semi Finals.

Teams are getting knocked out all the way through this way and having to raise their performance at every stage.
 
As a example , imagine following groups :

Group A: India, South Africa, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, UAE

Group B: Australia, England, New Zealand, West Indies, Zimbabwe, Ireland

2nd round (Super Six): India, South Africa, Pakistan, Australia, England, West Indies

That would be pretty exciting ..

And semis:

India v Pakistan

Australia v England

Final:

Pakistan v England :-)



Can you ask for a better World Cup , with three Pakistan v India matches potentially?
 
As a example , imagine following groups :

Group A: India, South Africa, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, UAE

Group B: Australia, England, New Zealand, West Indies, Zimbabwe, Ireland

2nd round (Super Six): India, South Africa, Pakistan, Australia, England, West Indies

That would be pretty exciting ..

And semis:

India v Pakistan

Australia v England

Final:

Pakistan v England :-)



Can you ask for a better World Cup , with three Pakistan v India matches potentially?

This would actually be a good idea but what if a weak team goes to the super six?
 
Mate who cares about deserving. It's a world cup, I'm delighted to stumble through and piggy back on rain , if it means we get through

You are right. It doesn't matter. But Pakistan doesn't deserve the luck.
 
Pakistan is going nowhere as long as they persist with Mohammad Hafeez, Shoaib Malik and Sarfraz Ahmed, whose age I am deeply sceptical of.

The best thing that can happen is an early exit and a big clear out - also including Azhar Ali from the Test Team - so that they can tour Australia in five months with a Test team of:

1. Shan Masood (c)
2. Imam-ul-Haq
3. Haris Sohail
4. Babar Azam
5. Mohammad Rizwan (wk)
6. Umar Akmal
7. Shadab Khan
8. Faheem Ashraf
9. Mohammad Amir
10. Shaheen Shah Afridi
11. Mohammad Abbas

Why do you have Faheem and Umar in that team? LOL. I'd drop faheem and umar for 2 of Saad Ali/Saud Shakeel / Usman Saluhuddin, based on how they do next season in domestics and the SL tour before the Aus series. I'd also play Zafar Gohar instead of Shadab if Zafar gets a call up before and does well.

But, you are right, an early exit from WC will force changes.
 
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