Name me one country where an honest, charismatic leader led a dark horse, and new political force, by molding it into an institution with intra party election, grass root support, and campaigners like TRs who did everything without any finanacial support
Yes but no party has gone from 0 to forming the government anywhere. This is the thing, people had their expectations far too high that they were always going to be disappointed with the outcome.
Punjabis voting for PTI. Pathans voting for PTI. Urdu speaking people voting for PTI. where does ethnic bias come into all this?
No the ethnic biases for the other parties, that has been built up over decades. Punjabis voted for PML-N, Sindhis voted for PPP/MQM, Balochis voted for Baloch parties and Pathans voted for the Pathan leader of PTI.
People have to accept that these parties, PPP/PML-N have had their vote bank built up over decades, especially in the rural areas. Someone mentioned earlier, it was a 'silent majority' vote - these people don't go to big urban jalsas and rallies, but they are still sizeable in number. For every 50,000 at a jalsa, there are about a 100,000 at home with their own voting preferences.
PTI won't be able to change people's traditional voting biases overnight. It'll happen over time, let them prove themselves in KPK government, and if they have a good administrative track record, that'll translate to the rest of the country.
People simply went to a tried and tested party, with a previous experience of government, and the only alternative, in their eyes, to the PPP.
But as mentioned, this experience BS won't be used against PTI in 2018 - they will HAVE a track record, they will be able to say 'look we've tackled unemployment/energy crisis etc.'
Let's say I accept that PMLN would have still won. But having PTI with 70 odd seats (and I firmly believe we would have won a lot more) breathing down its neck, with PTI making inroads in Lahore, with PTI making inroads in karachi, things would have been completely different.
You'd still be in opposition though, and at least now PTI can sit in parliament, initiate legislation, campaign for electoral reforms within the parliamentary system and hold the government to account.
Before all PTI could do is protest on the outside, but now they are involved in the decision making process.
This is my point. Pakistan cannot afford another 5 years of this shh!!t. How many more people do you want to get killed in bombings? Do you think nooras can effectively manage this country that's under so much debt, has no energy, no investment coming in? Pakistan cannot afford another 5 years of this!
We've suffered 66 years of this anyway though, but the problem has been this constant flip-flop from martial law to civilian govt.
Musharraf made martyrs out of both PPP and PML-N. Look at 1997, PPP were annihilated at that election, and PML-N in 1999 were on their way to collapse, then Musharraf launched a coup and gave them shaheed card.
Now PPP cannot play shaheed card, their vote bank has collapsed and PTI has more or less overtaken them, and if PML-N fail, then their vote bank will collapse and PTI will gain too.
PPP could rely on a vote bank across all provinces, so no matter how bad they were in government, they still had a majority in NA due to alliances and so on.
PML-N is not a national party though, this is a weak government and PTI have the chance to extract some serious reforms.
They know they can only survive if they have a good track record and perform in government, which would be to the benefit of everyone, but if they don't perform, then PTI can come in.
Dont forget, CJ set to retire this year, Kayani set to retire this year, President set to retire this year. What do you think NS will do? Appoint his cronies and then watch this country go down the trash hole
They won't be able to stuff cronies into those posts, there will be uproar and the govt will fall. Again PML-N government is weak due to their limited support in only one province. They have to be seen as cooperating with all parties and so there will have to be cross-party support for those appointments.
Army is virtually a state within a state and NS won't be able to influence that decision. Last time NS tried something like that and he was thrown out of office.
President - depends on Electoral College votes, PML-N won't have a majority in EC.